Advisories

000
WTPA32 PHFO 012043
TCPCP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nolo Advisory Number  45
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Thu Oct 01 2026
 
...NOLO POISED TO RE-STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE BY THE WEEKEND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 165.5W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to Maro
Reef, including near French Frigate Shoals
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from west of Maro
Reef to Lisianski Island
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Additional watches and warnings may be required for additional
portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument later
this week.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nolo was
located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 165.5 West. Nolo is
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). This general 
motion is expected today, followed by a westward turn with a large 
increase in forward speed by the weekend. On the forecast track, 
Nolo should remain south of the main atolls of the 
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Nolo is forecast to become a hurricane by the weekend, and could 
become a major hurricane over the weekend.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area from Nihoa to French Frigate Shoals today, with
tropical storm conditions spreading westward from French Frigate
Shoals to Maro Reef later today.  Tropical storm conditions are
possible from west of Maro Reef to Lisianski Island starting
Saturday morning.
 
SURF: Large surf associated with Nolo will continue to affect the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next several
days. These large waves will likely inundate some of the low-lying
atolls, especially from French Frigate Shoals to Maro Reef. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM HST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.
 
$$
Forecaster Blake