Advisories

000
WTPA32 PHFO 270843
TCPCP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number  27
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Sat Sep 26 2026
 
...NOLO CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD WHILE GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING...
...GUSTY WINDS, HEAVY RAIN, AND LARGE WAVES CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 157.3W
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM SSW OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM S OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should closely monitor the
progress of this system.  Watches may be required for portions
of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument on Sunday.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located
near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 157.3 West.  Nolo is moving
toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is 
expected to continue through Sunday.  A turn toward the northwest 
is expected Sunday night, with this general motion continuing 
through Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Nolo will 
remain well south and southwest of the main Hawaiian Islands.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Nolo is predicted to strengthen into a major 
hurricane on Sunday or Sunday night and reach its peak intensity by 
Monday. Weakening is expected thereafter.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Nolo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP2 and WMO header WTPA42 PHFO.
 
WIND: Strong and gusty winds are possible for all of the Hawaiian
Islands through the weekend, although the core winds of Nolo will
stay to the south.
 
RAINFALL: For the eastern and southern portions of the Big Island, 
Nolo will produce additional rainfall totals 1 to 2 inches, with 
isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches.  Storm totals through Sunday 
will range between 10 and 15 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 
20 inches.  Additional areas of flooding and mudslides will be 
possible, especially in areas of steep terrain.

For the western portions of the Big Island, rainfall totals of an 
inch or less are expected.  For eastern Maui, additional rainfall 
totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected, bringing storm totals to 4 to 
8 inches.  Additional areas of flooding and mudslides will be 
possible, especially in areas of steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with 
Hurricane Nolo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total 
Rainfall Graphic available at 
hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp2.shtml?rainqpf
 
STORM SURGE: The threat of significant storm surge has diminished,
yet water levels along the coast will remain elevated through
upcoming tide cycles due to persistent, dangerous wave action.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Nolo are affecting exposed east- and
south-facing shores of the Big Island and are expected to spread
westward and build through the weekend. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch