Hurricane Nolo
EP152026 Western PacificCurrent Conditions
As of Oct 11, 12:00 PM UTC
- Position
- 32.4°N 144.9°E
- Intensity
- 25 kt
- Pressure
- 1008.0 mb
- Classification
- —
Last JTWC warning 080 (final) · valid Oct 10 12Z: Tropical Storm
Track & cone
Best track Forecast track Cone beta
Intensity: TD TS Cat 1 Cat 2 Cat 3 Cat 4 Cat 5 L Post-tropical / low Radii: 34 50 64 kt · click points for detail
Advisories
All 115 advisories →Warning 080 Oct 10, 03:00 PM UTC
WTPN31 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 15E (NOLO) WARNING NR 080//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (NOLO) WARNING NR 080
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 31.0N 145.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N 145.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 31.8N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 32.4N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 32.8N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 31.2N 145.5E.
10OCT26. TROPICAL STORM 15E (NOLO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 393 NM
SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 15E HAS TURNED WESTWARD, AGAINST
THE PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED RECURVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE
SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED QUICKLY AND BECOME SHALLOW, NOW DRIVEN BY
LOW-LEVEL FLOW. TS 15E IS ACQUIRING HYBRID CHARACTERISTICS AS IT
STRADDLES THE 26 DEGREE CELSIUS ISOTHERM AND PULLS COLDER AIR INTO
ITS CIRCULATION, BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TAU 12. OVER
THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, THE HYBRID SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN,
OPENING INTO A TROUGH AS THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES TO
40-60 KTS. A LARGE AREA OF 25-30 KT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL MOVE
OVER THE WATERS OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL HONSHU AT THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 101200Z IS 999
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 15 FEET.
REFER TO TYPHOON 27W (KOGUMA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
Track
| Time | Position | Intensity | Pressure | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed · best track | ||||
| Oct 9, 06:00 AM UTC | 28.8°N 148.7°E | 50 kt | 991.0 mb | — |
| Oct 9, 12:00 PM UTC | 29.4°N 147.8°E | 50 kt | 991.0 mb | — |
| Oct 9, 06:00 PM UTC | 30.0°N 147.2°E | 50 kt | 991.0 mb | — |
| Oct 10, 12:00 AM UTC | 30.6°N 146.8°E | 50 kt | 991.0 mb | — |
| Oct 10, 06:00 AM UTC | 30.9°N 146.2°E | 45 kt | 993.0 mb | — |
| Oct 10, 12:00 PM UTC | 31.0°N 145.6°E | 35 kt | 999.0 mb | — |
| Oct 10, 06:00 PM UTC | 31.7°N 145.6°E | 30 kt | 1001.0 mb | — |
| Oct 11, 12:00 AM UTC | 32.1°N 145.6°E | 25 kt | 1001.0 mb | — |
| Oct 11, 06:00 AM UTC | 32.3°N 145.5°E | 25 kt | 1007.0 mb | — |
| Oct 11, 12:00 PM UTC | 32.4°N 144.9°E | 25 kt | 1008.0 mb | — |
| Forecast OFCL · issued Oct 10, 12:00 PM UTC | ||||
| Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC +36h | 32.8°N 144.3°E | 30 kt | — | — |
Recon & fixes
Latest recon
AircraftAircraft measurement — intensity ground truth.
Sep 27, 04:36 PM UTC 29 d ago
- Pressure
- 965.0 mb measured
- Wind
- 105 kt flight-level
- Center fix
- 16.2°N 158.6°W
- Eye
- 28 nm
CNTR DROP 335/3
Latest fix
Dvorak (objective)Newest observation of any type — the current picture.
Oct 4, 05:50 PM UTC 22 d ago
- Pressure
- 944.0 mb dvorak
- Wind
- 112 kt surface
- Reference position
- 24.0°N 178.9°W
| Time | Source | Position | Wind | Pressure | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 05:50 PM UTC | Dvorak (objective) | 24.0°N 178.9°W ref | 112 kt | 944.0 mb | CIMS |
| Oct 4, 05:30 PM UTC | Dvorak (subjective) | 24.0°N 179.0°W | 90 kt | — | PHFO |
| Oct 4, 05:20 PM UTC | Microwave | 24.1°N 179.2°W | — | — | NHC |
| Oct 4, 05:01 PM UTC | Dvorak (subjective) | 24.0°N 179.0°W | 102 kt | — | PGTW · 09A RAGGED EYE/ANMTN DT=5.0 MET=5.5 PT=5.5 DBO PT |
| Oct 4, 05:00 PM UTC | Dvorak (subjective) | 24.0°N 179.0°W | 102 kt | — | PGTW · 09A RAGGED EYE/ANMTN DT=4.5 MET=5.5 PT=5.5 DBO PT |
| Oct 4, 02:40 PM UTC | Dvorak (objective) | 23.8°N 178.2°W ref | 112 kt | 944.0 mb | CIMS |
| Oct 4, 02:00 PM UTC | Dvorak (subjective) | 23.9°N 178.2°W | 102 kt | — | PGTW · 09A RAGGED EYE/ANMTN DT=6.0 MET=6.5 PT=6.0 DBO CONSTRAINTS |
| Oct 4, 01:35 PM UTC | Microwave | 23.8°N 177.9°W ref | 104 kt | 946.0 mb meas | CIMS · CIMSS ADT/AiDT/DPRINT CIMSS SSMIS/DMINT |
| Oct 4, 11:40 AM UTC | Dvorak (objective) | 23.7°N 177.4°W ref | 94 kt | 959.0 mb | CIMS |
| Oct 4, 11:30 AM UTC | Dvorak (subjective) | 23.6°N 177.5°W | 90 kt | — | PHFO |
| Oct 4, 11:00 AM UTC | Dvorak (subjective) | 23.6°N 177.5°W | 90 kt | — | PGTW · 09A RAGGED EYE/ANMTN DT=5.0 MET=6.0 PT=5.5 DBO DT |
| Oct 4, 08:52 AM UTC | Scatterometer | 23.4°N 176.8°W | 67 kt | — | NHC · ascatb |
492 observations · 7 recon missions · 72 ATCF working-record analysis records not shown
Observed fixes from NHC's ATCF fix deck. Operational data, subject to later revision.