Advisories

000
WTPA42 PHFO 270844
TCDCP2
 
Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number  60
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Wed Aug 26 2026
 
Mid-level dry air is beginning to wrap around the core of Lala, 
although a small area of deep convection persists near the center. 
An earlier AMSR-2 microwave pass indicated that moderate westerly 
wind shear is starting to take its toll, with a more defined 
circulation to the north and east of the center, and less definition 
on the southern and western sides. Subjective Dvorak intensity 
estimates from PHFO and JTWC were 2.0/30 kt, while objective 
intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 47-55 kt. The initial 
intensity is maintained at 40 kt for this advisory.
 
Lala is moving northward around 5 kt, steered by a ridge of high 
pressure centered to the northeast of the storm. A northward to 
northwestward motion is expected over the next 24 h, followed by a 
turn toward the west-northwest as Lala approaches and crosses the 
International Date Line. Increasing wind shear and drier mid-level 
air will support gradual weakening over the next couple of days, and 
Lala may struggle to sustain deep, organized convection by late 
Thursday night or early Friday morning. The latest NHC track 
forecast has been shifted slightly to the right of the previous 
forecast and calls for Lala to become a post-tropical low by 36 h. 
The remnants of Lala should then gradually spin down and degenerate 
into a trough within about 3 days.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  27/0900Z 37.0N 178.3W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  27/1800Z 37.5N 178.7W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  28/0600Z 38.1N 179.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
 36H  28/1800Z 38.5N 179.4E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  29/0600Z 39.3N 177.7E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  29/1800Z 41.0N 175.6E   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Adams