Advisories

000
WTPA42 PHFO 242041
TCDCP2
 
Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number  50
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Mon Aug 24 2026
 
Lala has remained remarkably steady in organization over the past 
couple of days.  The storm continues to maintain moderate deep 
convection in banding features  with a ragged eye-like feature near 
the center.  The system is over sea surface temperatures of around 
25 deg C and there is apparently sufficient instability to allow 
the cyclone to maintain its convection for the time being.  Lala's 
current intensity is held at 55 kt in agreement with a Dvorak 
intensity estimate from PHFO Honolulu.  This is also a blend of 
objective estimates from UW-CIMSS.
 
The current motion estimate is around 320/4 kt, about the same as 
earlier this morning.  Lala is embedded in a broad cyclonic flow 
with fairly weak steering currents overall.  The system is still 
fairly well-removed from the faster deep-layer southwesterly flow 
at higher latitudes.  Therefore a continued slow motion is expected 
for the next few days, although a mid level ridge could build a bit 
to the northeast of the system and possibly impart a slightly 
faster forward speed.  The official forecast is a blend of the 
corrected dynamical model consensus and the Google DeepMind 
forecast.  This is quite similar to the previous NHC track.

Lala is expected to pass over gradually cooling ocean waters during 
the next several days.  This, along with a relatively dry low- to 
mid-level air mass, should result in slow weakening through the 
forecast period.  Simulated satellite imagery from the global 
models show the system losing most of its associated deep 
convection in around 72 hours so the official forecast indicates 
that Lala should transition into a post tropical cyclone near the 
time.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  24/2100Z 33.7N 175.4W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  25/0600Z 34.2N 176.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  25/1800Z 34.8N 177.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 36H  26/0600Z 35.2N 177.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 48H  26/1800Z 35.8N 178.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
 60H  27/0600Z 36.6N 179.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 72H  27/1800Z 37.4N 179.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 96H  28/1800Z 39.0N 178.5E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  29/1800Z 42.0N 176.0E   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch