Advisories

Rachel

76 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 058 Oct 11, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 057A Oct 11, 11:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 057 Oct 11, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 056A Oct 11, 05:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 056 Oct 11, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 055A Oct 10, 11:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 055 Oct 10, 08:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 054A Oct 10, 05:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 054 Oct 10, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 053A Oct 10, 11:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 053 Oct 10, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 052A Oct 10, 05:58 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 052 Oct 10, 02:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 051A Oct 9, 11:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 051 Oct 9, 08:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 050A Oct 9, 05:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 050 Oct 9, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 049 Oct 9, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 048 Oct 9, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 047 Oct 8, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 046 Oct 8, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 045 Oct 8, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 044 Oct 8, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 043 Oct 7, 08:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 042 Oct 7, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 041 Oct 7, 09:00 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 040 Oct 7, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 039 Oct 6, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Oct 6, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Oct 6, 08:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Oct 6, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Oct 5, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Oct 5, 03:14 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Oct 5, 08:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Oct 5, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Oct 4, 08:32 PM UTC
000
WTPZ43 KNHC 042032
TCDEP3
 
Hurricane Rachel Discussion Number  31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182026
200 PM MST Sun Oct 04 2026
 
Rachel has not changed much during the past several hours. The
hurricane continues to have a well established inner core, but the
eye has become a little more cloud-filled and ragged compared to
this morning. The latest satellite intensity estimates range from
85 to 97 kt, and based on that data and the relatively steady
state appearance of the system, the initial intensity is held at 90
kt. A 1616 UTC ASCAT-B was helpful in adjusting the initial wind
radii.
 
The hurricane has turned westward over the past several hours, with
the initial motion now estimated to be 270/5 kt. A high pressure
system to the north of Rachel should keep the system on a slow
westward track through the middle of the week. After that time, the
high is expected to weaken and shift eastward as a trough cuts off
near the southern California coast, which should allow Rachel to
turn back to the west-northwest by the end of the week. Little
change was made to the previous track forecast, and this one lies
near the best-performing models of the year so far, HCCA and GDMI.
 
Rachel will likely maintain its strength through tonight. However,
as the hurricane moves farther west, it will be entering a
progressively drier airmass and moving over sub 26C waters in a
couple of days. Therefore, steady weakening is forecast to begin on
Monday and continue through the week. The NHC intensity forecast
lies generally near the middle of the guidance envelope, and is
largely an update of the previous one.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  04/2100Z 20.1N 114.3W   90 KT 105 MPH
 12H  05/0600Z 20.2N 115.2W   90 KT 105 MPH
 24H  05/1800Z 20.3N 116.6W   85 KT 100 MPH
 36H  06/0600Z 20.4N 118.2W   80 KT  90 MPH
 48H  06/1800Z 20.6N 119.7W   75 KT  85 MPH
 60H  07/0600Z 20.9N 121.1W   70 KT  80 MPH
 72H  07/1800Z 21.4N 122.7W   65 KT  75 MPH
 96H  08/1800Z 22.3N 125.5W   55 KT  65 MPH
120H  09/1800Z 22.6N 127.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 
NHC Advisory 030 Oct 4, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Oct 4, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Oct 4, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Oct 3, 09:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Oct 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Oct 3, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Oct 3, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Oct 2, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Oct 2, 02:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Oct 2, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Oct 2, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Oct 1, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Oct 1, 02:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Oct 1, 08:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Oct 1, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 30, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 30, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013A Sep 30, 11:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 30, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012A Sep 30, 05:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 30, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011A Sep 29, 11:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 29, 08:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010A Sep 29, 05:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 29, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009A Sep 29, 11:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 29, 08:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008A Sep 29, 05:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 29, 02:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007A Sep 28, 11:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 28, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006A Sep 28, 05:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005A Sep 28, 11:25 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 28, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004A Sep 28, 05:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 28, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 27, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 27, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 27, 08:55 AM UTC