Advisories

Rachel

76 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 058 Oct 11, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 057A Oct 11, 11:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 057 Oct 11, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 056A Oct 11, 05:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 056 Oct 11, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 055A Oct 10, 11:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 055 Oct 10, 08:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 054A Oct 10, 05:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 054 Oct 10, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 053A Oct 10, 11:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 053 Oct 10, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 052A Oct 10, 05:58 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 052 Oct 10, 02:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 051A Oct 9, 11:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 051 Oct 9, 08:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 050A Oct 9, 05:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 050 Oct 9, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 049 Oct 9, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 048 Oct 9, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 047 Oct 8, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 046 Oct 8, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 045 Oct 8, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 044 Oct 8, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 043 Oct 7, 08:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 042 Oct 7, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 041 Oct 7, 09:00 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 040 Oct 7, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 039 Oct 6, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Oct 6, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Oct 6, 08:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Oct 6, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Oct 5, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Oct 5, 03:14 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Oct 5, 08:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Oct 5, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Oct 4, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Oct 4, 02:35 PM UTC
000
WTPZ43 KNHC 041435
TCDEP3
 
Hurricane Rachel Discussion Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182026
800 AM MST Sun Oct 04 2026
 
Rachel has strengthened a little more this morning. Satellite
images indicate that the eye has become slightly more distinct, and
the inner core is well organized. The convective pattern is not
completely symmetric, however, with the coldest cloud tops
currently located to the north and west of the eye. The latest
satellite intensity estimates range from 80 to about 100 kt, and
based on that data, the initial intensity is nudged up to 90 kt.
The initial wind radii have been adjusted based on ASCAT data from
last night.

The hurricane is moving slowly west-northwestward at about 5 kt. A 
high pressure system to the north of Rachel should cause the system 
to turn westward by tonight, and move slowly in that direction 
through the middle of the week. After that time, the high is 
expected to weaken and shift eastward as a trough cuts off near the 
southern California coast, which should allow Rachel to turn back 
to the west-northwest. The NHC track forecast is nudged slightly to 
the north and is a little slower than the previous one, trending 
toward the latest GDMI and HCCA guidance.

Given the improved satellite appearance, Rachel will likely 
maintain its strength today. However, as the hurricane moves 
farther west, it will be entering a progressively drier airmass and 
moving over sub 26C waters in a couple of days. Therefore, steady 
weakening is forecast to begin on Monday. The NHC intensity 
forecast lies generally near the middle of the guidance envelope, 
and is largely an update of the previous one. 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  04/1500Z 20.2N 113.8W   90 KT 105 MPH
 12H  05/0000Z 20.3N 114.7W   90 KT 105 MPH
 24H  05/1200Z 20.5N 115.8W   85 KT 100 MPH
 36H  06/0000Z 20.7N 117.5W   80 KT  90 MPH
 48H  06/1200Z 20.7N 119.0W   75 KT  85 MPH
 60H  07/0000Z 20.9N 120.5W   70 KT  80 MPH
 72H  07/1200Z 21.3N 122.2W   65 KT  75 MPH
 96H  08/1200Z 22.2N 125.2W   55 KT  65 MPH
120H  09/1200Z 22.8N 127.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 
NHC Advisory 029 Oct 4, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Oct 4, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Oct 3, 09:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Oct 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Oct 3, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Oct 3, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Oct 2, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Oct 2, 02:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Oct 2, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Oct 2, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Oct 1, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Oct 1, 02:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Oct 1, 08:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Oct 1, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 30, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 30, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013A Sep 30, 11:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 30, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012A Sep 30, 05:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 30, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011A Sep 29, 11:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 29, 08:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010A Sep 29, 05:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 29, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009A Sep 29, 11:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 29, 08:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008A Sep 29, 05:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 29, 02:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007A Sep 28, 11:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 28, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006A Sep 28, 05:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005A Sep 28, 11:25 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 28, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004A Sep 28, 05:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 28, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 27, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 27, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 27, 08:55 AM UTC