Advisories

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 290552
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182026
1200 AM CST Tue Sep 29 2026
 
...RACHEL CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PARALLEL TO THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 103.7W
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo
Corrientes
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was
located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 103.7 West. Rachel is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A gradual 
turn toward the northwest with a slower forward speed is expected 
during the next few days.  On the forecast track, the center of 
Rachel is predicted to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the 
coast of southwestern Mexico.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days, 
and Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane during the next day or 
so.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.
  
The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter 
Aircraft observations is 992 mb (29.30 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
later today.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
area by tonight or Wednesday.
 
RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across coastal
portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacn and Colima.
This rainfall may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in
areas of steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will affect portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days and
spread northward through midweek. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch