Advisories

Polo

68 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 038 Sep 30, 02:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 037A Sep 29, 11:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 036A Sep 29, 05:42 PM UTC
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 291742
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 36A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026
1100 AM MST Tue Sep 29 2026
 
...POLO MAKES LANDFALL A LITTLE EAST OF GUAYMAS MEXICO...
...HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF 
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM MST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 110.6W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM E OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM NNE OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings for the east
coast of Baja California Sur.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the next few
hours
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case in the next several hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
Interests in the remainder of Sonora and northern Sinaloa should
monitor the progress of Polo.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM MST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located
just inland over the Mexican state of Sonora near latitude 28.0 
North, longitude 110.6 West. Polo is moving toward the northeast 
near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with 
an increase in forward speed today. On the forecast track, will 
move farther inland over the southern portion of the state of Sonora 
this afternoon.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Rapid weakening is expected as the center of Polo moves 
farther inland.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90
miles (150 km). The Mexican Navy weather station in Guaymas 
recently reported sustained winds of 44 mph (72 kn/h) and a wind 
gust of 56 mph (90 km/h).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.
 
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area and
possible in the watch area for a few more hours. Hurricane and
tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico
near the center of Polo this afternoon.
 
A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of southern New Mexico and
far western Texas where strong gusty winds are possible late today
and tonight in association with Polos remnants. Refer to products
issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office for
additional information.
 
RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6
inches across southern and central portions of Sonora with isolated
maximum totals of 8 inches. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall
is expected across Baja California Sur. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal
flooding in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will
be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue to affect portions of
the coast of the Baja California peninsula and northwestern Mexico
during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 035A Sep 29, 11:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 29, 09:11 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 034A Sep 29, 05:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 29, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 033A Sep 28, 11:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032A Sep 28, 05:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 031A Sep 28, 11:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 28, 08:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030A Sep 28, 05:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 28, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029A Sep 27, 11:54 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028A Sep 27, 05:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:57 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027A Sep 27, 11:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 27, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026A Sep 27, 05:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 27, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025A Sep 26, 11:57 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024A Sep 26, 06:04 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023A Sep 26, 11:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 26, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022A Sep 26, 05:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 26, 02:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 25, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 25, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016A Sep 24, 05:59 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 015A Sep 24, 11:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 24, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014A Sep 24, 05:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 24, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013A Sep 23, 11:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 23, 08:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012A Sep 23, 05:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 23, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011A Sep 23, 11:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 23, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010A Sep 23, 05:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 23, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009A Sep 22, 11:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 22, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008A Sep 22, 05:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 22, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007A Sep 22, 11:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 22, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006A Sep 22, 05:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 22, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005A Sep 21, 11:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 21, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004A Sep 21, 05:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 21, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003A Sep 21, 11:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 21, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 21, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 20, 08:58 PM UTC