Hurricane Polo

EP172026 Eastern Pacific

Current Conditions

As of Sep 30, 03:00 AM UTC

Position
30.5°N 108.0°W
Intensity
30 kt
Pressure
996.0 mb
Classification
Post-Tropical Cyclone
Movement
40° at 20 kt

Track & cone

Best track Forecast track Cone
Intensity: D TD TS Cat 1 Cat 2 Cat 3 Cat 4 Cat 5 L Post-tropical / low Radii: 34 50 64 kt · click points for detail
NHC Advisory 038 Sep 30, 02:32 AM UTC
000
WTPZ42 KNHC 300232
TCDEP2
 
Remnants Of Polo Discussion Number  38
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026
800 PM MST Tue Sep 29 2026
 
Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Polo has
dissipated over the rugged terrain of northwestern Mexico, and this
is the last NHC advisory. However, the remnants of Polo are still
producing areas of heavy rain and gusty winds over portions of
northwestern Mexico and the southwestern U.S. The initial intensity
is estimated to be around 30 kt.
 
The remnant trough is forecast to continue to weaken, but the
associated moisture will likely produce heavy rainfall and flooding
across the Southwest U.S. and the Southern High Plains tonight and 
Wednesday morning.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  30/0300Z 30.5N 108.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...REMNANTS OF POLO
 12H  30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 

Track

Time Position Intensity Pressure Class
Observed · best track
Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC 22.4°N 114.1°W 110 kt 951.0 mb Hurricane
Sep 28, 06:00 AM UTC 23.2°N 114.0°W 105 kt 955.0 mb Hurricane
Sep 28, 12:00 PM UTC 23.9°N 113.7°W 100 kt 958.0 mb Hurricane
Sep 28, 06:00 PM UTC 24.6°N 113.4°W 100 kt 963.0 mb Hurricane
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC 25.5°N 112.8°W 100 kt 963.0 mb Hurricane
Sep 29, 06:00 AM UTC 25.8°N 112.2°W 90 kt 967.0 mb Hurricane
Sep 29, 12:00 PM UTC 26.9°N 111.5°W 65 kt 981.0 mb Hurricane
Sep 29, 06:00 PM UTC 28.0°N 110.6°W 60 kt 987.0 mb Tropical Storm
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC 30.0°N 108.5°W 30 kt 996.0 mb Disturbance
Sep 30, 03:00 AM UTC 30.5°N 108.0°W 30 kt 996.0 mb Post-Tropical Cyclone

Recon & fixes

Latest recon

Aircraft

Aircraft measurement — intensity ground truth.

Sep 28, 05:54 PM UTC 28 d ago
Pressure
965.0 mb measured
Wind
100 kt flight-level
Center fix
24.6°N 113.4°W
Eye
23 nm

CNTR DROP 130/19

Latest fix

Dvorak (subjective)

Newest observation of any type — the current picture.

Sep 29, 03:00 PM UTC 27 d ago
Pressure
—
Wind
—
Center fix
27.8°N 110.9°W
Time Source Position Wind Pressure Notes
Sep 29, 03:00 PM UTC Dvorak (subjective) 27.8°N 110.9°W — — TAFB
Sep 29, 02:40 PM UTC Dvorak (objective) 27.7°N 111.0°W ref 69 kt 972.0 mb CIMS
Sep 29, 01:13 PM UTC Microwave 27.1°N 111.6°W — — KNHC · WRM SPOT/CNVTV CURV ON 37 GHZ COMPOSITE
Sep 29, 12:00 PM UTC Dvorak (subjective) 27.0°N 111.0°W 90 kt 970.0 mb TAFB · Center tricky to find after land interaction. MET
Sep 29, 11:40 AM UTC Dvorak (objective) 26.7°N 111.5°W ref 79 kt 966.0 mb CIMS
Sep 29, 09:00 AM UTC Dvorak (subjective) 26.3°N 111.7°W — — TAFB
Sep 29, 08:40 AM UTC Dvorak (objective) 26.1°N 111.9°W ref — — CIMS
Sep 29, 06:00 AM UTC Dvorak (subjective) 25.8°N 112.0°W — — TAFB
Sep 29, 05:40 AM UTC Dvorak (objective) 26.3°N 112.1°W ref — — CIMS
Sep 29, 03:52 AM UTC Scatterometer 25.6°N 112.5°W — — KNHC
Sep 29, 03:00 AM UTC Dvorak (subjective) 25.7°N 112.6°W — — TAFB
Sep 29, 02:40 AM UTC Dvorak (objective) 25.9°N 112.5°W ref 117 kt 936.0 mb CIMS

297 observations · 4 recon missions · 33 ATCF working-record analysis records not shown
Observed fixes from NHC's ATCF fix deck. Operational data, subject to later revision.