Advisories

Polo

68 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 038 Sep 30, 02:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 037A Sep 29, 11:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 036A Sep 29, 05:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 035A Sep 29, 11:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 29, 09:11 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 034A Sep 29, 05:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 29, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 033A Sep 28, 11:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032A Sep 28, 05:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 031A Sep 28, 11:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 28, 08:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030A Sep 28, 05:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 28, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029A Sep 27, 11:54 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028A Sep 27, 05:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:57 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027A Sep 27, 11:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 27, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026A Sep 27, 05:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 27, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025A Sep 26, 11:57 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024A Sep 26, 06:04 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023A Sep 26, 11:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 26, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022A Sep 26, 05:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 26, 02:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 25, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 25, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016A Sep 24, 05:59 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 015A Sep 24, 11:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 24, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014A Sep 24, 05:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 24, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013A Sep 23, 11:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 23, 08:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012A Sep 23, 05:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 23, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011A Sep 23, 11:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 23, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010A Sep 23, 05:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 23, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009A Sep 22, 11:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 22, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008A Sep 22, 05:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 22, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007A Sep 22, 11:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 22, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006A Sep 22, 05:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 22, 02:47 AM UTC
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 220244
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Polo Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026
900 PM CST Mon Sep 21 2026
 
...POLO STILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AND FORECAST TO BECOME A
CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE TOMORROW...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO MANZANILLO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 102.3W
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Watch from
Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo, Mexico.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo, Mexico.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere along the southwestern Mexico coast should
continue to monitor the progress of this system as additional
watches and warnings could be necessary tomorrow.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located
near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 102.3 West. Polo is moving
toward the east-southeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). This general motion
is expected to continue overnight, with a sharp turn toward the
northwest and west-northwest anticipated late Tuesday into
Wednesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be
near or south of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next
few days.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h)
with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast over the
next day or so, and Polo is expected to become a major hurricane
shortly, and a potentially catastrophic Category 5 hurricane by
Wednesday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area by early Wednesday.
 
RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8
inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal
portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacn through
Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and
mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 3 to 6
inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and
Jalisco through Thursday.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Polo are expected to begin affecting
portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico on Tuesday. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM CST.
Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin
 
NHC Advisory 005A Sep 21, 11:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 21, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004A Sep 21, 05:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 21, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003A Sep 21, 11:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 21, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 21, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 20, 08:58 PM UTC