Advisories

Polo

68 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 038 Sep 30, 02:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 037A Sep 29, 11:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 036A Sep 29, 05:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:44 PM UTC
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 291443
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Polo Advisory Number  36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026
800 AM MST Tue Sep 29 2026
 
...POLO ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR GUAYMAS MEXICO...
...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING IN THE LANDFALL AREA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 110.9W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM S OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM NNE OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings for the west 
coast of Baja California Sur. The Government of Mexico has changed 
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for the east 
coast of Baja California Sur from Loreto to Santa Rosalia, and has 
discontinued all other watches and warnings on the east coast of 
Baja California Sur.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East coast of Baja California Sur from Loreto to Santa Rosalia
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the next few 
hours
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case in the next several hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
Interests in the remainder of Sonora and northern Sinaloa should
monitor the progress of Polo.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located
near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 110.9 West. Polo is moving
toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue with an increase in forward speed today. On 
the forecast track, the core of Polo will move inland over southern 
Sonora near Guaymas during the next few hours and cross portions of 
northwestern Mexico this afternoon.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected before landfall. 
Rapid weakening is expected after landfall as the center crosses 
northwestern Mexico.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km). The Mexican Navy automated station in Guaymas recently 
reported a wind gust of 52 mph (84 km/h).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.
 
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area and
possible in the watch area during the next few hours. Hurricane and 
tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico 
near the center of Polo this afternoon.
 
A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of southern New Mexico and
far western Texas where strong gusty winds are possible late today
and tonight in association with Polos remnants. Refer to products
issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office for
additional information.
 
RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6 
inches across southern and central portions of Sonora with isolated 
maximum totals of 8 inches. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall 
is expected across Baja California Sur. This rainfall may produce 
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of 
steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, 
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic 
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal
flooding in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will
be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue to affect portions of
the coast of the Baja California peninsula and northwestern Mexico
during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1100 AM MST.
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
NHC Advisory 035A Sep 29, 11:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 29, 09:11 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 034A Sep 29, 05:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 29, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 033A Sep 28, 11:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032A Sep 28, 05:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 031A Sep 28, 11:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 28, 08:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030A Sep 28, 05:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 28, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029A Sep 27, 11:54 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028A Sep 27, 05:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:57 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027A Sep 27, 11:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 27, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026A Sep 27, 05:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 27, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025A Sep 26, 11:57 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024A Sep 26, 06:04 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023A Sep 26, 11:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 26, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022A Sep 26, 05:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 26, 02:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 25, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 25, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016A Sep 24, 05:59 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 015A Sep 24, 11:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 24, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014A Sep 24, 05:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 24, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013A Sep 23, 11:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 23, 08:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012A Sep 23, 05:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 23, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011A Sep 23, 11:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 23, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010A Sep 23, 05:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 23, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009A Sep 22, 11:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 22, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008A Sep 22, 05:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 22, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007A Sep 22, 11:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 22, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006A Sep 22, 05:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 22, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005A Sep 21, 11:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 21, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004A Sep 21, 05:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 21, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003A Sep 21, 11:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 21, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 21, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 20, 08:58 PM UTC