Advisories

Polo

68 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 038 Sep 30, 02:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 037A Sep 29, 11:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 036A Sep 29, 05:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 035A Sep 29, 11:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 29, 09:11 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 034A Sep 29, 05:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 29, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 033A Sep 28, 11:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032A Sep 28, 05:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 031A Sep 28, 11:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 28, 08:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030A Sep 28, 05:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 28, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029A Sep 27, 11:54 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028A Sep 27, 05:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:57 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027A Sep 27, 11:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 27, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026A Sep 27, 05:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 27, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025A Sep 26, 11:57 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024A Sep 26, 06:04 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023A Sep 26, 11:53 AM UTC
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 261153
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 23A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026
500 AM MST Sat Sep 26 2026
 
...POLO MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ON MONDAY AS
A POWERFUL HURRICANE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM MST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 111.5W
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Eugenia to Santa Fe
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

Watches will likely be required for the east coast of the Baja 
California Peninsula later today.  Interests in portions of 
northwestern mainland Mexico should monitor the progress of Polo.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM MST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located 
near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 111.5 West. Polo is moving 
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A gradual turn 
toward the northwest is expected late today and toward the north is 
forecast on Sunday. By Monday, Polo is expected to turn 
northeastward and approach Baja California Sur.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph (260 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Polo is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Fluctuations in intensity are possible today. 
Slow weakening is forecast to begin tonight, but Polo is expected to 
remain a powerful hurricane as it approaches Baja California Sur on 
Monday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the 
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles 
(205 km). A weather station on Socorro Island recently reported a 
sustained wind of 42 mph (68 km/h) and a gust of 61 mph (98 km/h).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 922 mb (27.23 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.
 
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by
Monday afternoon, with tropical storm conditions possible in the
southern portion of the watch area by Sunday night into early
Monday. These conditions are expected to spread northward during the
day on Monday.
 
RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8
inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches across portions of Baja
California Sur. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding
and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURGE: A storm surge could produce significant coastal flooding in
areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue affecting the coast of
southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days. Swells will also
spread northward along the coast of west-central Mexico and the Baja
California Peninsula through the weekend. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 26, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022A Sep 26, 05:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 26, 02:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 25, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 25, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016A Sep 24, 05:59 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 015A Sep 24, 11:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 24, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014A Sep 24, 05:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 24, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013A Sep 23, 11:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 23, 08:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012A Sep 23, 05:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 23, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011A Sep 23, 11:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 23, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010A Sep 23, 05:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 23, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009A Sep 22, 11:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 22, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008A Sep 22, 05:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 22, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007A Sep 22, 11:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 22, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006A Sep 22, 05:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 22, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005A Sep 21, 11:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 21, 08:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004A Sep 21, 05:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 21, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003A Sep 21, 11:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 21, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 21, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 20, 08:58 PM UTC