Advisories

Karina

43 advisories on record

CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
000
WTPA45 PHFO 052034
TCDCP5
 
Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number  38
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP112026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sat Sep 05 2026
 
Visible satellite imagery indicates that Karina's low-level 
circulation has become totally decoupled from the mid- to 
upper-levels. Deep convection is now limited to a shield to the 
north of the cyclone. A blend of Dvorak Final-T and Current 
Intensity numbers from JTWC plus decreasing objective estimates from 
UW-CIMSS supported lowering the intensity estimate to 60 kt at 18Z. 
Since then, further degradation of the satellite appearance of 
Karina over the past few hours justify lowering the intensity 
estimate to 55 kt for this advisory. 
 
Largely because Karina has become shallow sooner than expected, the 
tropical storm has also moved south of the previous forecast track. 
This has necessitated another southward shift to the NHC forecast, 
which is near the southern extreme of the reliable guidance 
envelope. A further southward adjustment may be necessary in future 
advisories. Karina is now forecast to move generally 
west-northwestward to westward for the next couple of days, steered 
primarily by low-level flow associated with a subtropical high 
centered well north of the tropical storm. This motion will likely 
continue until Karina dissipates in a few days.

Further weakening from southwesterly shear and dry air is likely. 
The official forecast calls for Karina to weaken slightly faster 
than previously shown, but is generally similar and lies near the 
middle of the models, which are all in good agreement. Karina is 
forecast to become post-tropical in 2 days, and based on current 
trends, it could occur sooner than that.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  05/2100Z 21.6N 143.6W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  06/0600Z 22.0N 144.3W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  06/1800Z 22.5N 145.4W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  07/0600Z 22.8N 146.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
 48H  07/1800Z 23.0N 148.7W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  08/0600Z 23.4N 151.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  08/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
 
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC