Advisories

Karina

43 advisories on record

CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 292032
TCDEP1
 
Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112026
200 PM PDT Sat Aug 29 2026

Recent satellite imagery, along with microwave imagery, shows 
that Karina has made many improvements to its structure in the last 
several hours. However, there does appear to be some dry air that 
has gotten into the core of the cyclone, which should hinder its 
intensification a bit. The latest Dvorak fix from TAFB has T4.0/65 
kt, and the objective intensity estimates from UW-CMISS are in the 
range of 57-61 kt. Thus, the initial intensity has been set to 60 
kt for this advisory, just below hurricane strength.  
 
The storm continues on a northwestward heading of about 315/11 kt, 
driven by a ridge of high pressure over the southwestern United 
States. The storm is expected to slow down and turn westward as a 
mid-level trough to the north weakens this ridge, allowing for the 
ridge over the central North Pacific to build southeastward and take 
over as the primary steering flow. The current NHC track is very 
similar to the previous track except for a few small adjustments, 
and it closely follows the HCCA guidance.
 
The SHIPS guidance maintains a favorable environment for the cyclone 
to intensify for the next 60 h. With light wind shear, warm 
sea-surface temperatures, and plenty of moisture in the environment, 
the conditions are conducive for Karina to continue to intensify. 
Karina is at the edge of becoming a hurricane now, and is likely to 
reach that status well within the next 24 h. Models still maintain 
a fairly good signal for the cyclone to become a major hurricane 
within the next 48 h, but that could occur sooner if the structure 
of the storm gets better organized. After this weekend, SHIPS 
diagnostics indicate that the environment will gradually become less 
favorable, which will lead to a slow weakening trend. The current 
NHC intensity forecast is close to the middle of the guidance.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  29/2100Z 16.4N 118.8W   60 KT  70 MPH
 12H  30/0600Z 16.9N 120.4W   65 KT  75 MPH
 24H  30/1800Z 17.4N 122.0W   75 KT  85 MPH
 36H  31/0600Z 17.7N 123.7W   90 KT 105 MPH
 48H  31/1800Z 17.9N 125.3W  100 KT 115 MPH
 60H  01/0600Z 18.3N 126.8W  100 KT 115 MPH
 72H  01/1800Z 19.0N 128.8W   95 KT 110 MPH
 96H  02/1800Z 20.4N 131.5W   80 KT  90 MPH
120H  03/1800Z 22.2N 133.5W   60 KT  70 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Beven
 
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC