Advisories
Karina43 advisories on record
CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 281444 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112026 800 AM PDT Fri Aug 28 2026 It is a bit challenging to find the center of Karina this morning on conventional satellite imagery, though it appears to be near a new convective burst on the northwestern side of the cloud envelope. A recent GMI microwave pass shows a tilted structure, with the low-level center a bit southwest of the mid-level core. Dvorak estimates haven't changed much since the last advisory, so the initial intensity remains 45 kt. Karina is moving northwestward at about 9 kt. A mid-level ridge over the SW United States should gradually build westward, causing the tropical cyclone to turn west-northwestward and westward this weekend. A bend back to the northwest is possible early next week due to the ridge being eroded by a mid-latitude trough. There is a subtle southward and leftward guidance change on this cycle, and the new forecast moves in that direction, close to a blend of the latest HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) and Google DeepMind (GDMI) aids. The intensity forecast is difficult because while the large-scale environmental conditions are quite conducive for intensification, the inner-core structure is still broad and misaligned. Given the low shear, the inner core should eventually organize, but the timing on this alignment is hard to forecast. While guidance has come down somewhat on this cycle, there's enough uncertainty to stay on the higher end of the guidance, just below the HCCA model, until better evidence emerges that it will struggle more like the regional hurricane guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 13.2N 115.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 14.1N 116.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 29/1200Z 15.6N 117.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 30/0000Z 16.7N 119.6W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 30/1200Z 17.6N 121.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 60H 31/0000Z 18.0N 123.0W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 31/1200Z 18.3N 124.7W 110 KT 125 MPH 96H 01/1200Z 19.1N 127.8W 100 KT 115 MPH 120H 02/1200Z 20.2N 130.4W 80 KT 90 MPH $$ Forecaster Blake
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC