Advisories

Karina

43 advisories on record

CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 010234
TCDEP1
 
Hurricane Karina Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112026
500 PM HST Mon Aug 31 2026
 
Latest visible and infrared satellite imagery show little change in 
Karina's structure over the last several hours. The 00z subjective 
Dvorak intensity estimate from TAFB showed an increase to T5.5/102 
kt, while objective UW-CIMSS estimates range from 110 to 115 kt. 
Given the steady trend of Karina's appearance on satellite, the 
initial intensity estimate was held at 115 kt. 

Karina's initial motion is estimated to be 285/8 kt, the same as the 
previous advisory. The storm is expected to continue a 
west-northwestward motion through the forecast period, guided by 
mid-level ridging centered to the northwest over the north central 
Pacific. Other than a slight shift northward, little was changed in 
the track forecast, which reflects a blend of the previous advisory, 
HCCA, and GDMI.

The intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory, which 
remains slightly higher than the model consensus. SHIPS guidance 
suggests that Karina will remain in a favorable environment of low 
vertical wind shear, and over warm SSTs for the next couple of days. 
Beyond Day 3, the system will begin to encounter cooler SSTs and a 
drier mid-level environment. Thus, the latest forecast continues to 
reflects a more steady weakening trend at that time, near the 
intensity consensus aids.  
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  01/0300Z 17.8N 126.6W  115 KT 130 MPH
 12H  01/1200Z 18.2N 128.1W  115 KT 130 MPH
 24H  02/0000Z 18.5N 130.2W  110 KT 125 MPH
 36H  02/1200Z 18.9N 132.1W  105 KT 120 MPH
 48H  03/0000Z 19.3N 134.1W  100 KT 115 MPH
 60H  03/1200Z 19.7N 136.0W   95 KT 110 MPH
 72H  04/0000Z 20.0N 137.9W   90 KT 105 MPH
 96H  05/0000Z 20.9N 141.6W   80 KT  90 MPH
120H  06/0000Z 22.3N 144.6W   70 KT  80 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Evans/Kelly
 
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC