Advisories

Karina

43 advisories on record

CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 031437
TCDEP1
 
Hurricane Karina Discussion Number  29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112026
500 AM HST Thu Sep 03 2026
 
Little has changed in Karina's annular appearance over the last
several hours. The latest subjective Dvorak analysis from TAFB gave
an intensity estimate of 102 kt, while objective estimates from
CIMSS ranged from 90-95 kt. Given the continued downward trend
across subjective and objective Dvorak analysis, the initial
intensity estimate was set at 100 kt.
 
Karina's initial motion was set at 280/9 kt. The system is forecast
to shift more west-northwest over the next couple of days, as it
continues to be guided by a subtropical ridge to its north. By
late this weekend into early next week, an oncoming upper-level
trough is expected to pull Karina more to the northwest, away from
the main Hawaiian Islands. The official track forecast was little
changed from the previous advisory, with only slight adjustments
westward to reflect a blend of HCCA, GDMI, and the previous
official track forecast.
 
A steady weakening trend in Karina's intensity is still expected to
occur as the system encounters an increasingly drier mid-level
environment. After 24 h, Karina's weakening trend is
forecast to hasten as vertical wind shear increases and SSTs
decrease, with the system expected to become post-tropical by Day
4. The official intensity forecast increases the rate of weakening
compared to the previous advisory, falling just above most model
guidance within the first 24 h before landing closer to guidance
consensus thereafter.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  03/1500Z 19.8N 136.7W  100 KT 115 MPH
 12H  04/0000Z 20.1N 138.0W   95 KT 110 MPH
 24H  04/1200Z 20.6N 139.7W   85 KT 100 MPH
 36H  05/0000Z 21.0N 141.3W   75 KT  85 MPH
 48H  05/1200Z 21.6N 142.5W   70 KT  80 MPH
 60H  06/0000Z 22.3N 143.5W   60 KT  70 MPH
 72H  06/1200Z 23.2N 144.6W   55 KT  65 MPH
 96H  07/1200Z 24.5N 147.6W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H  08/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Evans/Berg
 
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC