Advisories

Karina

43 advisories on record

CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 032031
TCDEP1
 
Hurricane Karina Discussion Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112026
1100 AM HST Thu Sep 03 2026
 
Karina's cold cloud tops around the center appear more  
asymmetrical on satellite imagery, with dry air wrapping into the 
system. The latest subjective Dvorak analysis from TAFB gave an 
intensity estimate of 90 kt, while objective estimates from CIMSS 
ranged from 90-95 kt. With Dvorak analyses continuing to trend 
downward, along with Karina's degraded appearance on satellite 
imagery, the initial intensity estimate was decreased to 90 kt.
 
Karina's initial motion was set slightly more westward at 275/9 kt.
The system continues to be guided by a subtropical ridge to its
north, but is still expected to turn more west-northwestward
into the weekend as an upper-level trough moves in and weakens the 
aforementioned ridge. Another complicating factor for Karina's 
track is for it to potentially interact with Lowell early next 
week, which may pull Karina a bit more westward than the last 
advisory had suggested. Global models seem to hint at this
possibility, so the latest official track forecast reflects a
slight westward shift, however Karina is not expected to be a 
threat to the main Hawaiian Islands.
 
The environment surrounding Karina is becoming increasingly drier
based on latest SHIPS guidance, which should induce weakening 
in the short term. Marginal SSTs and increasing vertical
wind shear are forecast to cause additional weakening over the 
weekend. Karina is expected to become a post-tropical system by 
Monday, before dissipating thereafter. The official NHC intensity 
forecast further hastens the rate of weakening, generally falling 
close to the consensus aids.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  03/2100Z 19.8N 137.6W   90 KT 105 MPH
 12H  04/0600Z 20.1N 139.0W   80 KT  90 MPH
 24H  04/1800Z 20.5N 140.7W   70 KT  80 MPH
 36H  05/0600Z 21.0N 142.1W   65 KT  75 MPH
 48H  05/1800Z 21.8N 143.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
 60H  06/0600Z 22.5N 144.2W   55 KT  65 MPH
 72H  06/1800Z 23.3N 145.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 96H  07/1800Z 24.7N 148.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H  08/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Evans/Brown
 
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC