Advisories
Karina43 advisories on record
CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 290252 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112026 800 PM PDT Fri Aug 28 2026 Visible satellite imagery continues to show Karina with distinct, well-organized spiral banding around a central dense cloudy inner core. The latest subjective intensity estimate of T3.5/55 kt from TAFB, is lining up well with the objective intensity estimates of 50 to 60 kt from UW-CIMSS. Because of this, the initial intensity was maintained at 55 kt. Karina is on a northwestward heading of 310/10 kt. This should continue through the next 24 h or so as ridging will build over the Southwestern United States. Karina is then forecast to slow slightly and be steered in a more westerly direction this weekend as a mid-level trough first erodes the aforementioned ridge, and another ridge over the central North Pacific quickly builds southeastward in its place. The overall track of Karina was shifted a bit farther south from the previous advisory, following the HCCA guidance, but the reliable guidance remains in good agreement through the early portion of the forecast. Model spread increases significantly thereafter reducing confidence of Karina's exact track toward the latter end of the forecast period. The SHIPS guidance remains largely unchanged, still showcasing a favorable environment for intensification over the next 60 h or so. Given the light shear, warm SSTs, and moisture-laden atmosphere, Karina has all the necessary ingredients conducive to significantly strengthen to major hurricane status. The latest guidance from Google DeepMind now features over 80 percent of the ensemble members showing Karina becoming a major hurricane. The SHIPS diagnostics show environmental conditions becoming less conducive for strengthening after the weekend and weakening becoming becoming increasingly likely early next week. Slight adjustments to the intensity forecast have been made to reflect the guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/0300Z 14.2N 116.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 29/1200Z 15.1N 117.5W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 30/0000Z 16.2N 119.4W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 30/1200Z 17.0N 121.1W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 31/0000Z 17.3N 122.8W 100 KT 115 MPH 60H 31/1200Z 17.5N 124.6W 110 KT 125 MPH 72H 01/0000Z 18.0N 126.0W 105 KT 120 MPH 96H 02/0000Z 19.1N 129.2W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 03/0000Z 20.6N 131.4W 70 KT 80 MPH $$ Forecaster Pierce/Zelinsky
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC