Advisories
Karina43 advisories on record
CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 272046 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112026 200 PM MST Thu Aug 27 2026 Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure (Invest EP93) has developed a more organized circulation, along with banded convection around its center. The most recent subjective Dvorak analysis from TAFB was 2.5/2.5, which reflects this organization. Scatterometry data from around 1600 UTC also showed a slightly elongated, but closed circulation with max winds between 35 and 40 kt. Based on this, advisories have been initiated on Tropical Storm Karina, with an initial intensity of 40 kt. The initial motion estimate was set at 295/11 kt. Karina is expected to continue on a northwestward track over the next several days, staying well off the coast of Mexico. A high pressure ridge centered over the southwestern US will drive Karina's northwestward motion, before an upper-level trough just off the Pacific coast is forecast to shift Karina's track more westward around early next week. Forecast models are in good agreement through 72 h on Karina's track, then show more spread as the cyclone moves away from the ridge's influence, thus hindering forecast confidence heading into next week. SHIPS guidance suggests a favorable environment for strengthening over the next several days as Karina moves over warm SSTs in a moisture-rich, low vertical wind shear environment. Models depict a steady intensification period over the next 72 h, before moving into an environment of cooler SSTs and reduced mid-level moisture. The SHIPS-RII consensus guidance suggests a nearly 50 percent chance of a 55 kt increase in winds in the next 48 hours, indicating that strengthening could occur at a faster rate. However, given that the storm currently lacks a tight inner core, the initial forecast reflects a slower intensification rate, and has generally followed the HCCA for both track and intensity. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/2100Z 11.1N 111.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 28/0600Z 12.2N 113.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 28/1800Z 13.5N 114.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 29/0600Z 14.9N 116.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 29/1800Z 16.2N 118.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 30/0600Z 17.4N 119.6W 85 KT 100 MPH 72H 30/1800Z 18.1N 121.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 96H 31/1800Z 18.6N 124.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 01/1800Z 19.4N 127.4W 80 KT 90 MPH $$ Forecaster Evans/Pierce/Zelinsky