Advisories
Karina43 advisories on record
CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 280244 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112026 800 PM MST Thu Aug 27 2026 Tropical Storm Karina has gradually strengthened since the last advisory, indicated by the most recent subjective Dvorak estimate of T3.0/45 kt from TAFB, and the objective estimates from UW-CIMSS sitting around 35 to 45 kt. Latest satellite imagery continues to display relatively well-organized convection surrounding the center of Karina, with a slightly elongated circulation in place. Given the above, the NHC initial intensity has been increased to 45 kt. Karina's initial motion estimate has altered a bit from the previous advisory as well, now set at 315/11 kt. This heading is forecast to prevail through the next several days as mid- to upper-level ridging centered over much of the southwestern US will dictate Karina's motion prior to the intervention of an upper-level trough by early next week. Because of this interaction, and as showcased by model guidance, particularly GDMI and HCCA, Karina's track will begin to steer more westward. The reliable guidance remains in good agreement on the track of Karina, with confidence decreasing as model spread increases toward the latter end of the forecast early next week. Guidance provided by the ECMWF SHIPS indicates that Karina remains in a favorable environment for steady intensification over the next several days as Karina is forecast to move through a moisture-laden area with low shear. SHIPS-RII consensus guidance suggests a nearly 60 percent chance of a 55 kt increase in winds over the next 48 hours; a 10 percent increase from the previous advisory. In fact, the latest guidance from Google DeepMind indicates a 60 percent chance that Karina becomes a major hurricane by early next week. However, it is important to note that given Karina currently lacks a tight inner core, the NHC forecast reflects a slower intensification rate. Conversely, if an inner core is established sooner, Karina could intensify much quicker than forecast. Karina is forecast to transition into a more stable environment and begin weakening by day 5. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/0300Z 11.9N 112.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 28/1200Z 12.9N 114.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 29/0000Z 14.3N 115.5W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 29/1200Z 15.7N 117.2W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 30/0000Z 17.0N 118.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 30/1200Z 17.8N 120.5W 95 KT 110 MPH 72H 31/0000Z 18.3N 122.3W 100 KT 115 MPH 96H 01/0000Z 18.8N 125.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 02/0000Z 20.2N 127.9W 80 KT 90 MPH $$ Forecaster Pierce/Zelinsky
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC