Advisories
Karina43 advisories on record
CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 7, 02:46 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 08:31 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 08:42 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 6, 02:31 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 08:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 02:31 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Aug 31, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 02:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Aug 30, 11:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:31 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 282031 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112026 200 PM PDT Fri Aug 28 2026 Karina is slowly becoming better organized, with visible satellite imagery showing increased spiral banding around a central dense overcast. The low-level center is still on the southwestern side of the convection, but the distance is decreasing to the mid-level center. A recent scatterometer pass shows maximum winds near 50 kt, and given the known low bias of ASCAT, the intensity is set to 55 kt, which also matches the latest TAFB classification. Karina is moving northwestward at about 9 kt. There are no changes in the synoptic pattern to report as a mid-level ridge over the SW United States should gradually build westward. This evolution forces Karina to turn west-northwestward and westward this weekend. A bend back to the northwest is likely early next week due to the ridge being weakened by an approaching mid-latitude trough. The guidance envelope is very similar to the last forecast advisory, and the new forecast is close to the previous one, near the latest HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) model. There is some increasing confidence that Karina will become a strong hurricane with signs of inner-core alignment ongoing. Given the light shear, it seems very likely that sometime this weekend the low- and mid-level centers will become positioned for significant strengthening in otherwise conducive large-scale conditions. Thus the new forecast is higher than the last one, and could be conservative near peak intensity given rising rapid intensification probabilities from SHIPS and DTOPS. Weakening should begin in 4 days or so due to the cyclone moving over the cooling waters of the eastern Pacific. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/2100Z 13.7N 115.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 29/0600Z 14.6N 116.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 29/1800Z 15.9N 118.4W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 30/0600Z 16.9N 120.1W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 30/1800Z 17.5N 121.9W 100 KT 115 MPH 60H 31/0600Z 17.9N 123.4W 110 KT 125 MPH 72H 31/1800Z 18.2N 125.1W 110 KT 125 MPH 96H 01/1800Z 19.1N 128.1W 100 KT 115 MPH 120H 02/1800Z 20.0N 130.5W 80 KT 90 MPH $$ Forecaster Blake
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC