Events › 2026

Heavy Rainfall in Texas Hill Country

Jul 15–18, 2026 · WPC Storm Summaries · Ended

  • Texas

Summaries

6 summaries · 2 corrections

First Jul 15, 02:56 PM UTC · latest Jul 18, 02:32 AM UTC

Source

NOAA Weather Prediction Center

Station values in WPC's text are preliminary

WPC outlooks as they stood at each summary

Not captured: this event's summaries were imported from the archive after they were issued, so the outlooks in effect at the time were not recorded. Events summarised since show the Excessive Rainfall Outlook and WSSI ice impacts as they stood at each summary.

Storm summaries

  1. Summary #6 · final

    Jul 18, 02:32 AM UTC

    Rainfall will continue to become more scattered and diffuse across southwestern Texas

    Full text
    ACUS43 KWBC 180232
    SCCNS3
    
    Storm Summary Number 6 for Heavy Rainfall in Texas Hill Country
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    1000 PM CDT Fri Jul 17 2026
    
    ...Rainfall will continue to become more scattered and diffuse
    across southwestern Texas...
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 900 PM CDT...NWS RADAR shows isolated to scattered
    thunderstorms moving north to south into the Pecos River Valley
    and the Texas Big Bend region courtesy of an upper-level low.
    Rainfall rates are on the order of half an inch to an inch a hour,
    bringing some localized, low end flash flood risk over the Davis
    Mountains and perhaps the urban areas of El Paso. The storms
    should wane with the loss of instability overnight.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 100 PM
    CDT Mon Jul 13 through 900 PM CDT Thu Jul 17...
    
    ...TEXAS...
    KNIPPA 7.0 NW                       28.23
    DRY FRIO RIVER AT FM 2690           27.45 HADS
    UVALDE 10 NNE                       27.26
    CAMP EAGLE                          27.05 TWDB
    LEONA RIVER AT CR 429A              26.12 HADS
    INGRAM 1.1 NNW                      25.36
    CAMP WOOD 9.6 ESE                   23.48
    LEAKEY 0.5 E                        23.37
    CONCAN 0.7 S                        22.20
    KERRVILLE 1.5 NNW                   20.75
    NUECES RIVER LODGE                  20.54 TWDB
    KERRVILLE 2.8 NW                    20.40
    UTOPIA 2.2 WSW                      19.83
    LEAKEY 8.2 NE                       18.70
    FRIO RIVER NEAR UVALDE              18.65 HADS
    FRIO RIVER AT CONCAN                18.36 HADS
    JOHNSON CREEK NEAR INGRAM           18.29 HADS
    WEST NUECES RIV. NEAR BRACKETTVILLE 17.98 HADS
    BOERNE 4.7 WNW                      16.75
    HARPER 8 SSE                        16.71
    SCENIC OAKS                         16.15
    KICKAPOO CAVERNS STATE PARK         16.02
    GUADALUPE RIVER AT HUNT             15.39
    D'HANIS 0.4 NNE                     15.36
    CROSS MOUNTAIN 2.1 N                14.10
    SECO CREEK NEAR D'HANIS             13.76 HADS
    HUNT 1.9 NNE                        13.68
    UVALDE 0.9 NW                       13.37
    DOSS 4.5 S                          13.36
    BANDARA 5.9 ESE                     13.28
    UVALDE                              13.07 ASOS
    FREDRICKSBURG 16.4 WNW              12.40
    FAIR OAKS RANCH 10 NNE              12.33
    TIMBERWOOD PARK 2.5 NW              12.31
    CONROE 3.7 S                        11.43
    ROCKSPRINGS 11.8 ENE                11.43
    PIPE CREEK 2.7 S                    11.35
    TELEGRAPH 7 E                       11.34
    GREY FOREST 3.2 SE                  11.05
    HELOTES 2.7 NE                      10.93
    SABINAL 0.5 NNE                     10.79
    BULVERDE 4.3 ESE                    10.76
    
    
    An upper-low will continue to linger across southwestern Texas and
    help produce scattered thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. For
    Saturday, the storms will contain locally heavy rainfall rates
    that may exceed flash flood guidance. The flash flood threat is
    expected to be isolated to scattered with minor impacts as the
    storms will not be very organized. On Sunday, drier air will
    continue to surge into the area as high pressure builds in and
    allow for typical summer air mass thunderstorms for southwestern
    Texas. Areas recovering in the Hill Country should see dry
    conditions with high pressure building in.
    
    This will be the last Storm Summary issued by the Weather
    Prediction Center for this event. Please refer to your local
    National Weather service office for additional information.
    
    Wilder
    $$
  2. Summary #5

    Jul 17, 02:35 PM UTC

    Heavy rainfall slowly diminishing for the Texas Hill Country

    Full text
    ACUS43 KWBC 171435
    SCCNS3
    
    Storm Summary Number 5 for Heavy Rainfall in Texas Hill Country
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    1000 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2026
    
    ...Heavy rainfall slowly diminishing for the Texas Hill Country...
    
    
    Flash Flood Warnings and Flood Warnings are in effect for portions
    of the Edwards Plateau and Texas Hill Country.
    
    Flood Watch remains in effect across the Hill Country, Edwards
    Plateau and Trans-Pecos region of the western Texas Panhandle.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 900 AM CDT...NWS RADAR continue to show a broad shield of
    moderate to heavy rainfall across the Concho Valley/northern
    Edwards Plateau. Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms
    extending northeast into Northwest Texas and far southwest
    Oklahoma, as well as, more scattered storms developing across the
    Serranias del Burro in Coahuila, Mexico, extending across the Rio
    Grande toward Del Rio into the far southwest Hill Country.
    Rainfall rates and overall coverage continues a show a
    downward/weakening trend currently across the entire shield and
    showers with a few places still experiencing 0.5-1"/hr rates,
    though a few isolated localized storms can remain over 2"+/hr if
    intensifying.  Broad areas of flooding remain due to days of
    extreme rainfall with many rivers at moderate to major flood
    stage.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 100 PM
    CDT Mon Jul 13 through 900 AM CDT Thu Jul 17...
    
    ...TEXAS...
    DRY FRIO RIVER AT FM 2690           27.45 HADS
    CAMP EAGLE                          27.05 TWDB
    LEONA RIVER AT CR 429A              26.12 HADS
    INGRAM 1.1 NNW                      25.36
    LEAKEY 0.5 E                        23.37
    CONCAN 0.7 S                        22.20
    KNIPPA 0.2 N                        22.07
    KERRVILLE 1.5 NNW                   20.75
    NUECES RIVER LODGE                  20.54 TWDB
    KERRVILLE 2.8 NW                    20.40
    CAMP WOOD 9.6 ESE                   20.31
    UTOPIA 2.2 WSW                      19.83
    LEAKEY 8.2 NE                       18.70
    FRIO RIVER NEAR UVALDE              18.65 HADS
    FRIO RIVER AT CONCAN                18.36 HADS
    JOHNSON CREEK NEAR INGRAM           18.29 HADS
    WEST NUECES RIV. NEAR BRACKETTVILLE 17.98 HADS
    BOERNE 4.7 WNW                      16.75
    HARPER 8 SSE                        16.71
    SCENIC OAKS                         16.15
    KICKAPOO CAVERNS STATE PARK         16.02
    GUADALUPE RIVER AT HUNT             15.39
    D'HANIS 0.4 NNE                     15.36
    CROSS MOUNTAIN 2.1 N                14.10
    SECO CREEK NEAR D'HANIS             13.76 HADS
    HUNT 1.9 NNE                        13.68
    UVALDE 0.9 NW                       13.37
    DOSS 4.5 S                          13.36
    BANDARA 5.9 ESE                     13.28
    UVALDE                              13.07 ASOS
    FREDRICKSBURG 16.4 WNW              12.40
    FAIR OAKS RANCH 10 NNE              12.33
    TIMBERWOOD PARK 2.5 NW              12.31
    CONROE 3.7 S                        11.43
    ROCKSPRINGS 11.8 ENE                11.43
    PIPE CREEK 2.7 S                    11.35
    TELEGRAPH 7 E                       11.34
    GREY FOREST 3.2 SE                  11.05
    HELOTES 2.7 NE                      10.93
    SABINAL 0.5 NNE                     10.79
    BULVERDE 4.3 ESE                    10.76
    
    
    The upper-low that has helped spur and maintain the daily
    convective cycle activity will shift to the west slowly.  However,
    there appears to be a decoupling of this mid to upper-level
    forcing and the low-level inflow, high instability surges off the
    western Gulf and so generally thunderstorm activity is to be
    significantly reduced in coverage and intensity later this
    afternoon into tonight/early morning tomorrow for the areas that
    have been most affected in the Texas Hill Country and Edwards
    Plateau, with a few scattered thunderstorms possible though likely
    further north toward the Rolling Plains and Northwest
    Texas/Southwest Oklahoma.    The more significant convective
    activity is likely to be across S New Mexico/Western Texas
    Panhandle, as there remains a Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall
    through most of those areas.  Storms will be more isolated to
    widely scattered in coverage and while intense (rates of
    1.5-2"/hr) overall totals and flash flooding potential  will be
    much more localized in nature.
    
    The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center at 1000 PM CDT. Please refer to your local National Weather
    Service office for additional information on this event.
    
    Gallina
    $$
  3. Summary #4

    Jul 17, 02:54 AM UTC

    Heavy rainfall continues across the Texas Hill Country

    Full text
    ACUS43 KWBC 170254
    SCCNS3
    
    Storm Summary Number 4 for Heavy Rainfall in Texas Hill Country
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
    
    ...Heavy rainfall continues across the Texas Hill Country...
    
    Flood Watch remains in effect across the Hill Country and
    southwestern Texas.
    
    Flash Flood Warnings and Flood Warnings are in effect for portions
    of the Texas Hill Country.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 900 PM CDT...NWS radar and surface observations show storms
    moving south to north in a training manner across the same areas
    that have received feet of rainfall over the past few days. The
    storms are containing rainfall rates upwards to an inch an hour
    over areas that have ongoing flooding, though the storm motions
    appear to be moving faster than earlier today as a meso-low
    pressure is not apparent on radar of this evening. The winds
    continue to veer out of the south and southeast, funneling high
    moisture transport and PWATS exceeding 2 inches.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 100 PM
    CDT Mon Jul 13 through 900 PM CDT Thu Jul 16...
    
    ...TEXAS...
    DRY FRIO RIVER AT FM 2690           27.45 HADS
    LEONA RIVER AT CR 429A              24.98 HADS
    INGRAM 1.1 NNW                      24.38
    LEAKEY 0.5 E                        23.37
    KNIPPA 0.2 N                        21.84
    UVALDE 10 NNE                       21.76 HADS
    KERRVILLE                           20.71
    CAMP WOOD 9.6 ESE                   20.31
    KERRVILLE 2.8 NW                    19.48
    CONCAN 0.7 S                        18.22
    NUECES RIVER LODGE                  18.02 TWDB
    LEAKEY 8.2 NE                       17.52
    FRIO RIVER AT CONCAN                16.81 HADS
    WEST NUECES RIV. NEAR BRACKETTVILLE 16.79 HADS
    KICKAPOO CAVERNS STATE PARK         16.02
    BOERNE 4.7 WNW                      14.80
    GUADALUPE RIVER AT HUNT             14.78
    UVALDE 0.9 NW                       13.37
    UTOPIA 2.2 WSW                      12.25
    SECO CREEK NEAR D'HANIS             11.28 HADS
    D'HANIS 0.4 NNE                     11.12
    FAIR OAKS RANCH 0.5 W               10.75
    DOSS 4.5 S                          10.05
    HARPER 8 NE                         10.05
    HILL COUNTRY STATE NATL AREA 5.7 SW  9.96
    TIMBERWOOD PARK 2.5 NW               8.97
    CROSS MOUNTAIN 2.1 N                 8.42
    CONROE 3.7 S                         8.41
    HONDO 11.7 N                         7.95
    BANDERA 12.2 SW                      7.81
    DEL RIO 2.5 SW                       7.67
    LA GRANGE 4.7 E                      7.19
    GAUSE 2.5 W                          7.17
    PIPE CREEK 3.9 E                     7.08
    ROLLINGWOOD 1.1 SE                   6.96
    HUNTSVILLE 11.5 WSW                  6.60
    DIME BOX                             6.51
    CAMERON 1.0 E                        6.41
    SCHERTZ 2.2 N                        6.40
    BURTON 6.9 SSW                       6.16
    COKE STEVENSON RANCH                 5.95 TWDB
    THE WOODLANDS 4.8 NNW                5.78
    MILANO 5.2 SSE                       5.67
    LBJ STATE PARK 4.6 S                 5.51
    SAN ANTONIO 8.0 NNWS                 5.45
    MORGAN'S POINT RESORT 0.5 NNE        5.34
    NEW BRAUNFELS NATIONAL AIRPORT       5.32
    JOHNSON CITY 5 SSW                   4.94
    BRYAN 1.2 SE                         4.88
    MEDINA 7.9 NW                        4.73
    BRUSHY CREEK 1 NW                    4.67
    RANDOLPH AFB                         4.46
    NEW ULM 6.2 NNW                      4.20
    
    
    Additional thunderstorms are likely to develop and and move south
    to north with potential training across the Hill Country. The
    coverage of storms will likely increase overnight into the morning
    as the low level jet increases the moisture transport into western
    Texas. The current forecast calls for an additional 2-3 inches of
    rainfall, but locally higher amounts greater than 4 inches are
    certainly possible given the behavior of previous nights' storms
    and the favorable environment for heavy rainfall. Any additional
    rainfall will exacerbate flash flooding concerns, as well as river
    flooding. There will be a western trend of storms beginning
    tonight and into Friday and Saturday. As the mid-level low pivots
    westward, the storms will tend to concentrate towards southwestern
    Texas, including the Big Bend, Concho Valley, and the Edwards
    Plateau region. Scattered flash flooding will remain possible for
    the areas mentioned above for Friday afternoon and Saturday, but
    the weather pattern does not look as conducive for organized high
    end flooding.
    
    The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center at 1000 AM CDT. Please refer to your local National Weather
    Service office for additional information on this event.
    
    Wilder
    $$
  4. Summary #3

    Jul 16, 04:57 PM UTC · corrects 2 earlier issuances

    Heavy rainfall continues across portions of Texas, particularly the Texas Hill Country

    Full text
    ACUS43 KWBC 161657
    SCCNS3
    
    Storm Summary Number 3 for Heavy Rainfall in Texas Hill Country
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    1000 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
    
    ...Heavy rainfall continues across portions of Texas, particularly
    the Texas Hill Country...
    
    Flash Flood Warnings and Flood Warnings are in effect for portions
    of the Texas Hill Country.
    
    Flood Watches and Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of
    Central and West Texas.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 900 AM CDT...The warm and moist Gulf air mass combined with the
    stationary front draped east-west across Texas from the Big Bend
    region to the Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast has produced several slow
    moving thunderstorms across the region, with a focus over the
    Texas Hill Country. Given weak surface winds, thunderstorms were
    very slow moving and produced locally heavy rainfall rates of
    2-4"/hour that produced flash and river flooding, which led to a
    flash flood emergancy.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 100 PM
    CDT Mon Jul 13 through 1000 AM CDT Thu Jul 16...
    
    ...TEXAS...
    DRY FRIO RIVER AT FM 2690           26.59 HADS
    LEONA RIVER AT CR 429A              24.98 HADS
    KNIPPA 0.2 N                        21.84
    UVALDE 10 NNE                       21.76 HADS
    KERRVILLE 2.8 NW                    19.48
    NUECES RIVER LODGE                  18.02 TWDB
    FRIO RIVER AT CONCAN                16.81 HADS
    WEST NUECES RIV. NEAR BRACKETTVILLE 16.79 HADS
    KICKAPOO CAVERNS STATE PARK         16.02
    CAMP WOOD 9.6 ESE                   16.01
    BOERNE 4.7 WNW                      14.80
    GUADALUPE RIVER AT HUNT             14.78
    UTOPIA 2.2 WSW                      12.25
    KERRVILLE                           12.06
    CONCAN 0.7 S                        11.49
    SECO CREEK NEAR D'HANIS             11.28 HADS
    D'HANIS 0.4 NNE                     11.12
    FAIR OAKS RANCH 0.5 W               10.75
    DOSS 4.5 S                          10.05
    HARPER 8 NE                         10.05
    HILL COUNTRY STATE NATL AREA 5.7 SW  9.96
    LEAKEY 8.2 NE                        9.52
    TIMBERWOOD PARK 2.5 NW               8.97
    CROSS MOUNTAIN 2.1 N                 8.42
    CONROE 3.7 S                         8.41
    UVALDE 1.1 N                         8.33
    HONDO 11.7 N                         7.95
    BANDERA 12.2 SW                      7.81
    LA GRANGE 4.7 E                      7.19
    GAUSE 2.5 W                          7.17
    PIPE CREEK 3.9 E                     7.08
    ROLLINGWOOD 1.1 SE                   6.96
    HUNTSVILLE 11.5 WSW                  6.60
    DIME BOX                             6.51
    CAMERON 1.0 E                        6.41
    SCHERTZ 2.2 N                        6.40
    BURTON 6.9 SSW                       6.16
    COKE STEVENSON RANCH                 5.95 TWDB
    THE WOODLANDS 4.8 NNW                5.78
    MILANO 5.2 SSE                       5.67
    LBJ STATE PARK 4.6 S                 5.51
    MORGAN'S POINT RESORT 0.5 NNE        5.34
    NEW BRAUNFELS NATIONAL AIRPORT       5.32
    JOHNSON CITY 5 SSW                   4.94
    BRYAN 1.2 SE                         4.88
    MEDINA 7.9 NW                        4.73
    BRUSHY CREEK 1 NW                    4.67
    RANDOLPH AFB                         4.46
    SAN ANTONIO 8.6 SW                   4.21
    NEW ULM 6.2 NNW                      4.20
    
    
    The thunderstorm weather pattern will continue to persist across
    Texas through the next couple of days, as an upper low slowly
    moves into western Texas reinforcing additional rounds of
    thunderstorms underneath the mid-level disturbances. Thunderstorms
    will be capable of producing very heavy rainfall with rainfall
    rates of 2-4 inches/hour. Rainfall amounts between 15-25" have
    already fallen in parts of the Hill Country west of San Antonio,
    and any additional rainfall will prolong and exacerbate ongoing
    areas of flash flooding. Significant to catastrophic flash
    flooding remains likely in the hardest hit areas through the
    remainder of today through early Friday. Locally heavy nocturnal
    storms will occur tonight into early Friday morning. There is a
    High Risk of Excessive Rainfall in effect through early Friday for
    south-central Texas. There is a high-end Moderate Risk of
    Excessive Rainfall (Thursday into early Friday) for the same
    general area though shifting slightly westward.
    
    The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center at 1000 PM CDT. Please refer to your local National Weather
    Service office for additional information on this event.
    
    Oudit
    $$
    Superseded version, Jul 16, 04:22 PM UTC
    ACUS43 KWBC 161622
    SCCNS3
    
    Storm Summary Number 3 for Heavy Rainfall in Texas Hill Country
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    1000 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
    
    ...Heavy rainfall continues across portions of Texas, particularly
    the Texas Hill Country...
    
    Flash Flood Warnings and Flood Warnings are in effect for portions
    of the Texas Hill Country.
    
    Flood Watches and Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of
    Central and West Texas.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 900 AM CDT...The warm and moist Gulf air mass combined with the
    stationary front draped east-west across Texas from the Big Bend
    region to the Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast has produced several slow
    moving thunderstorms across the region, with a focus over the
    Texas Hill Country. Given weak surface winds, thunderstorms were
    very slow moving and produced locally heavy rainfall rates of
    2-4"/hour that produced flash and river flooding, which led to a
    flash flood emergancy.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 100 PM
    CDT Mon Jul 13 through 900 AM CDT Wed Jul 15...
    
    ...TEXAS...
    DRY FRIO RIVER AT FM 2690           26.59 HADS
    LEONA RIVER AT CR 429A              24.98 HADS
    KNIPPA 0.2 N                        21.84
    UVALDE 10 NNE                       21.76 HADS
    KERRVILLE 2.8 NW                    19.48
    NUECES RIVER LODGE                  18.02 TWDB
    FRIO RIVER AT CONCAN                16.81 HADS
    WEST NUECES RIV. NEAR BRACKETTVILLE 16.79 HADS
    KICKAPOO CAVERNS STATE PARK         16.02
    CAMP WOOD 9.6 ESE                   16.01
    BOERNE 4.7 WNW                      14.80
    GUADALUPE RIVER AT HUNT             14.78
    UTOPIA 2.2 WSW                      12.25
    KERRVILLE                           12.06
    CONCAN 0.7 S                        11.49
    SECO CREEK NEAR D'HANIS             11.28 HADS
    D'HANIS 0.4 NNE                     11.12
    FAIR OAKS RANCH 0.5 W               10.75
    DOSS 4.5 S                          10.05
    HARPER 8 NE                         10.05
    HILL COUNTRY STATE NATL AREA 5.7 SW  9.96
    LEAKEY 8.2 NE                        9.52
    TIMBERWOOD PARK 2.5 NW               8.97
    CROSS MOUNTAIN 2.1 N                 8.42
    CONROE 3.7 S                         8.41
    UVALDE 1.1 N                         8.33
    HONDO 11.7 N                         7.95
    BANDERA 12.2 SW                      7.81
    LA GRANGE 4.7 E                      7.19
    GAUSE 2.5 W                          7.17
    PIPE CREEK 3.9 E                     7.08
    ROLLINGWOOD 1.1 SE                   6.96
    HUNTSVILLE 11.5 WSW                  6.60
    DIME BOX                             6.51
    CAMERON 1.0 E                        6.41
    SCHERTZ 2.2 N                        6.40
    BURTON 6.9 SSW                       6.16
    COKE STEVENSON RANCH                 5.95 TWDB
    THE WOODLANDS 4.8 NNW                5.78
    MILANO 5.2 SSE                       5.67
    LBJ STATE PARK 4.6 S                 5.51
    MORGAN'S POINT RESORT 0.5 NNE        5.34
    NEW BRAUNFELS NATIONAL AIRPORT       5.32
    JOHNSON CITY 5 SSW                   4.94
    BRYAN 1.2 SE                         4.88
    MEDINA 7.9 NW                        4.73
    BRUSHY CREEK 1 NW                    4.67
    RANDOLPH AFB                         4.46
    SAN ANTONIO 8.6 SW                   4.21
    NEW ULM 6.2 NNW                      4.20
    
    
    The thunderstorm weather pattern will continue to persist across
    Texas through the next couple of days, as an upper low slowly
    moves into western Texas reinforcing additional rounds of
    thunderstorms underneath the mid-level disturbances. Thunderstorms
    will be capable of producing very heavy rainfall with rainfall
    rates of 2-4 inches/hour. Rainfall amounts between 15-25" have
    already fallen in parts of the Hill Country west of San Antonio,
    and any additional rainfall will prolong and exacerbate ongoing
    areas of flash flooding. Significant to catastrophic flash
    flooding remains likely in the hardest hit areas through the
    remainder of today through early Friday. Locally heavy nocturnal
    storms will occur tonight into early Friday morning. There is a
    High Risk of Excessive Rainfall in effect through early Friday for
    south-central Texas. There is a high-end Moderate Risk of
    Excessive Rainfall (Thursday into early Friday) for the same
    general area though shifting slightly westward.
    
    The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center at 1000 PM CDT. Please refer to your local National Weather
    Service office for additional information on this event.
    
    Oudit
    $$
    Superseded version, Jul 16, 02:55 PM UTC
    ACUS43 KWBC 161455
    SCCNS3
    
    Storm Summary Number 3 for Heavy Rainfall in Texas Hill Country
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    1000 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
    
    ...Heavy rainfall continues across portions of Texas, particularly
    the Texas Hill Country...
    
    Flash Flood Warnings and Flood Warnings are in effect for portions
    of the Texas Hill Country.
    
    Flood Watches and Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of
    Central and West Texas.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 900 AM CDT...The warm and moist Gulf air mass combined with the
    stationary front draped east-west across Texas from the Big Bend
    region to the Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast has produced several slow
    moving thunderstorms across the region, with a focus over the
    Texas Hill Country. Given weak surface winds, thunderstorms were
    very slow moving and produced locally heavy rainfall rates of
    2-4"/hour that produced flash and river flooding, which led to a
    flash flood emergancy.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 100 PM
    CDT Mon Jul 13 through 900 AM CDT Wed Jul 15...
    
    ...TEXAS...
    DRY FRIO RIVER AT FM 2690           26.59 HADS
    LEONA RIVER AT CR 429A              24.98 HADS
    KNIPPA 0.2 N                        21.84
    UVALDE 10 NNE                       21.76 HADS
    KERNVILLE 2.8 NW                    19.48
    NUECES RIVER LODGE                  18.02 TWDB
    FRIO RIVER AT CONCAN                16.81 HADS
    WEST NUECES RIV. NEAR BRACKETTVILLE 16.79 HADS
    KICKAPOO CAVERNS STATE PARK         16.02
    CAMP WOOD 9.6 ESE                   16.01
    BOERNE 4.7 WNW                      14.80
    GUADALUPE RIVER AT HUNT             14.78
    UTOPIA 2.2 WSW                      12.25
    KERRVILLE                           12.06
    CONCAN 0.7 S                        11.49
    SECO CREEK NEAR D'HANIS             11.28 HADS
    D'HANIS 0.4 NNE                     11.12
    FAIR OAKS RANCH 0.5 W               10.75
    DOSS 4.5 S                          10.05
    HARPER 8 NE                         10.05
    HILL COUNTRY STATE NATL AREA 5.7 SW  9.96
    LEAKEY 8.2 NE                        9.52
    TIMBERWOOD PARK 2.5 NW               8.97
    CROSS MOUNTAIN 2.1 N                 8.42
    CONROE 3.7 S                         8.41
    UVALDE 1.1 N                         8.33
    HONDO 11.7 N                         7.95
    BANDERA 12.2 SW                      7.81
    LA GRANGE 4.7 E                      7.19
    GAUSE 2.5 W                          7.17
    PIPE CREEK 3.9 E                     7.08
    ROLLINGWOOD 1.1 SE                   6.96
    HUNTSVILLE 11.5 WSW                  6.60
    DIME BOX                             6.51
    CAMERON 1.0 E                        6.41
    SCHERTZ 2.2 N                        6.40
    BURTON 6.9 SSW                       6.16
    COKE STEVENSON RANCH                 5.95 TWDB
    THE WOODLANDS 4.8 NNW                5.78
    MILANO 5.2 SSE                       5.67
    LBJ STATE PARK 4.6 S                 5.51
    MORGAN'S POINT RESORT 0.5 NNE        5.34
    NEW BRAUNFELS NATIONAL AIRPORT       5.32
    JOHNSON CITY 5 SSW                   4.94
    BRYAN 1.2 SE                         4.88
    MEDINA 7.9 NW                        4.73
    BRUSHY CREEK 1 NW                    4.67
    RANDOLPH AFB                         4.46
    SAN ANTONIO 8.6 SW                   4.21
    NEW ULM 6.2 NNW                      4.20
    
    
    The thunderstorm weather pattern will continue to persist across
    Texas through the next couple of days, as an upper low slowly
    moves into western Texas reinforcing additional rounds of
    thunderstorms underneath the mid-level disturbances. Thunderstorms
    will be capable of producing very heavy rainfall with rainfall
    rates of 2-4 inches/hour. Rainfall amounts between 15-25" have
    already fallen in parts of the Hill Country west of San Antonio,
    and any additional rainfall will prolong and exacerbate ongoing
    areas of flash flooding. Significant to catastrophic flash
    flooding remains likely in the hardest hit areas through the
    remainder of today through early Friday. Locally heavy nocturnal
    storms will occur tonight into early Friday morning. There is a
    High Risk of Excessive Rainfall in effect through early Friday for
    south-central Texas. There is a high-end Moderate Risk of
    Excessive Rainfall (Thursday into early Friday) for the same
    general area though shifting slightly westward.
    
    The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center at 1000 PM CDT. Please refer to your local National Weather
    Service office for additional information on this event.
    
    Oudit
    $$
  5. Summary #2

    Jul 16, 02:44 AM UTC

    Heavy rainfall continues across portions of Texas, particularly the Texas Hill Country

    Full text
    ACUS43 KWBC 160244
    SCCNS3
    
    Storm Summary Number 2 for Heavy Rainfall in Texas Hill Country
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    1000 PM CDT Wed Jul 15 2026
    
    ...Heavy rainfall continues across portions of Texas, particularly
    the Texas Hill Country...
    
    Flash Flood Warnings and Flood Warnings are in effect for portions
    of the Texas Hill Country.
    
    A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of Central and West Texas.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 900 PM CDT...A very warm and moist air mass was in place across
    Texas with a stationary front draped east-west across the state
    from the Big Bend region to the Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast. A
    nearly stationary low/mid level disturbance triggered numerous
    rounds of thunderstorms across portions of Central and West Texas
    over the past couple of days, with a focus over the Texas Hill
    Country. Given weak surface winds, thunderstorms were very slow
    moving and produced locally heavy rainfall that led to flash and
    river flooding.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 100 PM
    CDT Mon Jul 13 through 900 PM CDT Wed Jul 15...
    
    ...TEXAS...
    CAMP WOOD 9.6 ESE                   16.01
    UVALDE 10 NNE                       14.65 HADS
    BOERNE 3.6 SE                       12.71
    UTOPIA 2.2 WSW                      12.25
    KNIPPA 6.6 NW                       12.01
    CONCAN 0.7 S                        11.49
    SECO CREEK NEAR D'HANIS             11.28 HADS
    D'HANIS 0.4 NNE                     11.12
    WEST NUECES RIV. NEAR BRACKETTVILLE 10.99 HADS
    FAIR OAKS RANCH 0.5 W               10.75
    KICKAPOO CAVERNS STATE PARK         10.38
    DOSS 4.5 S                          10.05
    HARPER 8 NE                         10.05
    HILL COUNTRY STATE NATL AREA 5.7 SW  9.96
    LEAKEY 8.2 NE                        9.52
    TIMBERWOOD PARK 2.5 NW               8.97
    KERRVILLE 0.9 NW                     8.55
    CROSS MOUNTAIN 2.1 N                 8.42
    CONROE 3.7 S                         8.41
    UVALDE 1.1 N                         8.33
    HONDO 11.7 N                         7.95
    BANDERA 12.2 SW                      7.81
    GUADALUPE RIVER STATE PARK           7.53
    LA GRANGE 4.7 E                      7.19
    GAUSE 2.5 W                          7.17
    PIPE CREEK 3.9 E                     7.08
    ROLLINGWOOD 1.1 SE                   6.96
    DIME BOX                             6.51
    CAMERON 1.0 E                        6.41
    SCHERTZ 2.2 N                        6.40
    BURTON 6.9 SSW                       6.16
    HUNTSVILLE 11.5 WSW                  5.99
    COKE STEVENSON RANCH                 5.95 TWDB
    THE WOODLANDS 4.8 NNW                5.78
    MILANO 5.2 SSE                       5.67
    LBJ STATE PARK 4.6 S                 5.51
    MORGAN'S POINT RESORT 0.5 NNE        5.34
    JOHNSON CITY 5 SSW                   4.94
    BRYAN 1.2 SE                         4.88
    MEDINA 7.9 NW                        4.73
    BRUSHY CREEK 1 NW                    4.67
    RANDOLPH AFB                         4.46
    SAN ANTONIO 8.6 SW                   4.21
    NEW ULM 6.2 NNW                      4.20
    NEW BRAUNFELS NATIONAL AIRPORT       3.97
    
    
    An unchanging weather pattern will persist across Texas through
    the next couple of days, and additional rounds of thunderstorms
    are expected underneath mid-level disturbances. Thunderstorms will
    be capable of producing very heavy rainfall with rainfall rates of
    2-3 inches/hour. Rainfall amounts between 10-16" have already
    fallen in parts of the Hill Country west of San Antonio, and any
    additional rainfall will prolong and exacerbate ongoing areas of
    flash flooding. Significant to even catastrophic flash flooding
    remains likely in the hardest hit areas through the remainder of
    today and into the pre-dawn hours on Thursday. There is a High
    Risk of Excessive Rainfall in effect through tonight into early
    Thursday for much of the Pecos River Valley into the western Hill
    Country. There is a Moderate Risk for Day 2 (Thursday into early
    Friday) for the same general area though shifting slightly
    westward.
    
    The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center at 1000 AM CDT. Please refer to your local National Weather
    Service office for additional information on this event.
    
    Dolan
    $$
  6. Summary #1

    Jul 15, 02:56 PM UTC

    Multiple days of heavy rainfall across portions of Texas, particularly the Texas Hill Country

    Full text
    ACUS43 KWBC 151456
    SCCNS3
    
    Storm Summary Number 1 for Heavy Rainfall in Texas Hill Country
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    1100 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026
    
    ...Multiple days of heavy rainfall across portions of Texas,
    particularly the Texas Hill Country...
    
    A Flood Watch is in effect extending across the Texas Hill
    Country, westward through the Davis Mountains in the Trans-Pecos
    of the Western Panhandle of Texas.
    
    There are Flash Flood Warnings and Flood Warnings in effect for
    portions of the western Texas Hill Country and Concho Valley in
    Central Texas.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 1000 AM EDT...A very warm and moist air mass continues to
    reside in proximity to an east to west oriented stationary frontal
    zone across eastern to western Texas.  The front resides along the
    southern periphery of a broad mid-level high pressure across the
    eastern portion of the United States with very weak flow allowing
    for very slow moving thunderstorms.  Each cycle comes with high
    rainfall rates and localized high rainfall totals in
    short-duration resulting in flash flooding conditions.  Repeated
    days in close proximity to prior cycles have resulted in high
    rainfall totals (see below) also resulting in broadening riverine
    flooding.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 100 PM
    EDT Tue Jul 13 through 900 AM EDT Thu Jul 15...
    
    ...TEXAS...
    UVALDE 10 NNE                       14.65 HADS
    CAMP WOOD 9.6 ESE                   12.09
    SECO CREEK NEAR D'HANIS             11.28 HADS
    WEST NUECES RIV. NEAR BRACKETTVILLE 10.99 HADS
    CONCAN 0.7 S                         9.79
    CONCAN 4.4 SE                        8.73
    FRIO RIV. NEAR UVALDE                8.30 HADS
    UTOPIA 2.2 WSW                       8.18
    GAUSE 2.5 W                          7.17
    CAMP WOOD 3.5 WSW                    6.72
    KERRVILLE AP                         6.34 ASOS/AWOS
    CAMERON 1E                           6.30
    KERRVILLE                            6.19 CWOP
    LEAKEY 0.5 E                         6.14
    COKE STEVENSON RANCH                 5.95 TWDB
    LA GRANGE 4.7 E                      5.80
    CONROE 1.9 SW                        5.50
    MILANO 5.2 SSE                       5.50
    BURTON 3.8 N                         5.37
    HUNTSVILLE 4.8 NNW                   5.13
    BURTON 6.9 SSW                       4.89
    BRYAN 1.2 SE                         4.82
    MORGAN'S POINT RESORT 0.5 NNE        4.68
    FAIR OAKS RANCH 0.6 WNW              4.50
    CROSS MOUNTAIN 1.2 N                 4.36
    THE WOODLANDS 5 NW                   4.32
    NEW ULM 6.2 NNW                      4.20
    
    
    Very slow migration of the core of deep layer moisture, weak
    mid-level cyclonic waves enhanced by ongoing thunderstorms is
    expected along the southwestern portion of the upper-level ridge
    across the western Hill Country into the Trans Pecos region over
    the next few days.  The high moisture with some solar heating will
    likely destabilize with multiple regenerative cycles of
    thunderstorms today, tonight and into the new few days as it
    slowly shifts into the Trans-Pecos in the next few days.  Rainfall
    rates of 2-3"/hr are probable locally and overall totals are
    locally reaching 10-15", though additional 10-15" are possible
    locally though may not intersect areas that have experienced those
    totals already and will expand the overall footprint of higher
    extreme rainfall totals over the coming days.   As such, there is
    a rare High Risk of Excessive Rainfall in effect today into early
    tomorrow for much of the Pecos River Valley into the western Hill
    Country with a subsequent Moderate Risk for Day 2 (Thursday into
    early Friday) for the same general area shifting slightly
    westward.
    
    The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center at 1100 PM EDT. Please refer to your local National Weather
    Service office for additional information on this event.
    
    Gallina
    $$

Forecast offices in the affected states

By the states WPC's summaries list. Each office page has its active alerts and latest Area Forecast Discussion.

Text: NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center Storm Summaries, shown verbatim. Grouping the summaries into one event, the outlook copies and the links are Stormlio's; WPC issues no event id. Station values are preliminary; the official record is NCEI Storm Data.