Weather alerts for the NWS Corpus Christi TX forecast area

000
FXUS64 KCRP 281136
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
636 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 624 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

- Minor coastal flooding threat continues during high tide through 
the weekend, with an increased rip current risk

- Medium rain chances over the Coastal Plains today shifts west over 
the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains Thursday

- Another cold front expected around Tuesday

- Mild and dry for Halloween evening!

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 118 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Low to medium rain chances will continue over the Coastal Plains 
today as another shortwave moves across the area. By Thursday, the 
remnants of Pacific Tropical Storm Vance will move into South Texas, 
with the highest moisture along the Rio Grande. This will shift 
medium rain chances over the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains. 
WPC has placed the Brush Country under a Marginal Risk (level 1 out 
of 4) of excessive rainfall Thursday, with a Slight Risk (level 2 
out of 4) extending into northwestern portions of the region. 
Locally heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding will be possible, 
especially where storms become persistent or training develops. 
Isolated flooding and ponding will be possible in low lying poor 
drainage areas. However, uncertainty remains regarding the location 
and magnitude of the heaviest rainfall. Rain chances will diminish 
to low Friday into the weekend as the remnants move to the 
northeast. Fortunately, rain chances look like they will be out of 
the area by the evening Saturday night and we will remain dry 
through the rest of the weekend.

Another cold front is possible Tuesday, which could increase our 
rain chances once again. For now, we will continue to focus on the 
beneficial rain this week.

Minor coastal flooding remains a concern through much of the week as 
persistent onshore flow, elevated swell periods, and astronomical 
tides contribute to higher water levels during high tide. An 
increased risk of rip currents will also persist. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Scattered showers indicated by radar are currently moving 
northwest from the coastal waters toward CRP and ALI. The activity
is expected to continue to spread farther inland toward VCT later
this morning and COT and LRD later this afternoon. Rain chances 
diminish across the eastern sites by this evening, but continue 
across the western TAF sites as convection moves in from Mexico 
overnight. Chances are low after 06Z, thus, did not include any
mention of convection beyond that time. Have included PROB30 
groups to account for the timing of convection at the different 
TAF sites with MVFR, possibly IFR, conditions at times. Outside of
the convection, CIGs are expected to be at VFR levels, generally 
above 4kft. Gusty winds can be expected in and around the 
convection. Otherwise, east to southeast winds at 5-15 knots are
forecasted.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 118 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southeasterly flow will persist through 
much of the week, with seas generally 3 to 5 feet, occasionally 
reaching 6-7 feet offshore early Tuesday. Medium to high rain 
chances are expected through Wednesday, with lower chances Thursday 
and Friday. Locally higher winds and seas will be possible near 
thunderstorms. 

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 118 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Abundant low-level moisture and winds generally below 20 knots will 
limit fire weather concerns through the forecast period. Showers and 
thunderstorms through the work week will continue to limit fire 
weather concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    84  70  83  70 /  30  10  10   0 
Victoria          84  64  84  63 /  40   0   0   0 
Laredo            89  70  84  68 /  10  10  30  30 
Alice             86  68  83  67 /  20  10  10  10 
Rockport          83  72  83  71 /  40  10  10  10 
Cotulla           88  68  81  66 /  10  10  50  30 
Kingsville        86  69  83  68 /  20  10  10  10 
Navy Corpus       82  74  81  74 /  30  10  10  10 

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ345-442-
     443-447.

GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...TE/81