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Weather alerts for the NWS Brownsville TX forecast area

NWS Weather Forecast Office Brownsville TX, covering Texas.

Active alerts

1 active: 1 statement.

Land

Listed by area: every active alert covering a county or zone of this office's area, whichever office issued it. Select an alert to see it on the map.

The area

8 counties in the NWS Brownsville TX forecast area:

Texas

  • Brooks
  • Cameron
  • Hidalgo
  • Jim Hogg
  • Kenedy
  • Starr
  • Willacy
  • Zapata
Public forecast zones (15)
  • Brooks TXZ250
  • Cameron Island TXZ455
  • Coastal Cameron TXZ355
  • Coastal Kenedy TXZ351
  • Coastal Willacy TXZ354
  • Inland Cameron TXZ255
  • Inland Kenedy TXZ251
  • Inland Willacy TXZ254
  • Jim Hogg TXZ249
  • Kenedy Island TXZ451
  • Northern Hidalgo TXZ353
  • Southern Hidalgo TXZ253
  • Starr TXZ252
  • Willacy Island TXZ454
  • Zapata TXZ248
Marine zones (7)
  • Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Mansfield TX out 20 NM GMZ155
  • Coastal waters from Port Mansfield TX to the Rio Grande River out 20 NM GMZ150
  • Laguna Madre From 5 nm North Of Port Mansfield To Baffin Bay TX GMZ135
  • Laguna Madre From The Arroyo Colorado To 5 NM North Of Port Mansfield TX GMZ132
  • Laguna Madre From the Port Of Brownsville to the Arroyo Colorado GMZ130
  • Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Mansfield TX from 20 to 60 NM GMZ175
  • Waters from Port Mansfield TX to the Rio Grande River from 20 to 60 NM GMZ170

Area Forecast Discussion

Issued Oct 28, 11:52 AM UTC

Official NWS text
000
FXUS64 KBRO 281152
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
652 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 635 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

- Skies should stay mostly dry into the weekend, with daily
  isolated showers/thunderstorms possible. The greatest chance of
  rain is Thursday in the Rio Grande Plains.

- Temperatures gradually climb through late week to above normal
  by this weekend.

- A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect until 7 AM Thursday for 
  the Lower Texas Coast beaches.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1045 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Rain chances remain low Wednesday, though a distant shortwave
interacting with Gulf moisture may bring showers and 
thunderstorms near the coast. Wednesday night and Thursday, 
moisture associated with the remnants of current Pacific Tropical 
Storm Vance moves into deep South Texas, bringing PWAT values 
around 2" - very moist for late October. This will increase rain 
chances in western portions of the CWA, highest in the Rio Grande 
Plains (40%). Mostly dry conditions return for Friday through the 
weekend outside of a diurnal isolated shower or thunderstorm.

Temperatures remain near to above normal through Thursday, with 
highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. This weekend, high temperatures 
gradually climb under zonal flow aloft. Highs may climb into the 
low to mid 90s Monday. A closed low entering central CONUS may 
bring a cold front early next week, dropping temperatures and 
increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms. There is still 
disagreement between models on the depth and track of this system,
so continue monitoring the forecast for updates.

At area beaches, minor coastal flooding remains possible during high 
tide, with elevated swell periods and high astronomical tides. A 
Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect until 4 AM Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

There is a low (10-15%) chance for isolated showers or
thunderstorms through the afternoon. Otherwise, VFR conditions are
forecast to continue through the period. Winds are forecast to
increase out of the east or southeast to around 10 knots this
afternoon, before becoming light and variable again overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1045 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Gentle to moderate southeasterly to onshore winds, slight seas, and 
7 to 8 second period swell will prevail through the week. Low to 
moderate rain chances Wednesday (30-60%) diminish Thursday onwards, 
with isolated showers or thunderstorms possible. Showers and 
thunderstorms could lead to locally higher winds and seas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             87  73  86  71 /  20  10  10   0 
HARLINGEN               88  70  86  68 /  10  10   0   0 
MCALLEN                 92  74  89  72 /  10  10  10   0 
RIO GRANDE CITY         91  71  88  70 /  10  10  30  10 
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      81  75  80  74 /  20  10   0   0 
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     85  71  83  70 /  20  10   0   0 

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...69
LONG TERM....69
AVIATION...60-BE

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