Advisories

Genevieve

39 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 039 Aug 2, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Aug 2, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Aug 2, 08:31 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Aug 2, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Aug 1, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Aug 1, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Aug 1, 08:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Aug 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Jul 31, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Jul 31, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Jul 31, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Jul 31, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Jul 30, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Jul 30, 02:35 PM UTC
000
WTPZ42 KNHC 301435
TCDEP2
 
Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number  26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP072026
500 AM HST Thu Jul 30 2026
 
Genevieve is feeling the effects of cooler SSTs and relatively dry 
mid-level air this morning. Infrared satellite presentation is 
showing warming cloud tops east of the center, and the deepest 
convection is displaced to the south and west. However, an earlier 
GMI microwave pass showed a compact, fully intact and closed 
circulation, though the eye is becoming ragged and lopsided. 
Subjective Dvorak intensity estimates are slowly declining and range 
from 61-69 kt, while the latest objective estimate from TAFB was 
4.5/77 kt. The intensity for this advisory is lowered to 70 kt.

The hurricane is moving toward the west-northwest at a faster pace 
near 13 kt, and this motion is expected to continue into this 
weekend as ridging builds to the north. By the latter half of the 
weekend, Genevieve is forecast to turn toward the northwest then 
north-northwest as a mid-level trough develops to the northwest and 
helps steer the cyclone. The latest NHC track forecast has been 
nudged slightly to the left of the previous advisory, and remains in 
the middle of the consensus guidance envelope, nearest to HCCA and 
the Google DeepMind. 

Genevieve is moving into increasingly cool waters of less than 26C, 
which will be the main factor leading to gradual weakening. In 
addition, drier mid-level air will impact the system over the coming 
days, and the latest NHC forecast has been adjusted downward over 
the next 36 h, showing Genevieve falling below hurricane strength 
later today. During the upcoming weekend, the cyclone may struggle 
to produce organized convection due to persistent dry air 
entrainment and a more stable environment, and the system is 
expected to become a post-tropical remnant low by 72 h. The latest 
NHC forecast intensity lies near the middle of the intensity 
consensus guidance. 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  30/1500Z 20.6N 123.5W   70 KT  80 MPH
 12H  31/0000Z 21.0N 125.5W   60 KT  70 MPH
 24H  31/1200Z 21.7N 128.1W   55 KT  65 MPH
 36H  01/0000Z 22.5N 130.7W   50 KT  60 MPH
 48H  01/1200Z 23.3N 133.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
 60H  02/0000Z 24.2N 136.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
 72H  02/1200Z 25.1N 139.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 96H  03/1200Z 27.2N 143.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  04/1200Z 30.2N 146.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 
$$
Forecaster Adams
 
NHC Advisory 025 Jul 30, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Jul 30, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Jul 29, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Jul 29, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Jul 29, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Jul 29, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Jul 29, 12:03 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Jul 28, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Jul 28, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Jul 28, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Jul 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Jul 27, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Jul 27, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Jul 27, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Jul 27, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Jul 26, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Jul 26, 02:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Jul 26, 08:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Jul 26, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Jul 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Jul 25, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Jul 25, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Jul 25, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Jul 24, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Jul 24, 02:37 PM UTC