Advisories

Genevieve

39 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 039 Aug 2, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Aug 2, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Aug 2, 08:31 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Aug 2, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Aug 1, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Aug 1, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Aug 1, 08:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Aug 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Jul 31, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Jul 31, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Jul 31, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Jul 31, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Jul 30, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Jul 30, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Jul 30, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Jul 30, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Jul 29, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Jul 29, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Jul 29, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Jul 29, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Jul 29, 12:03 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Jul 28, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Jul 28, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Jul 28, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Jul 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Jul 27, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Jul 27, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Jul 27, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Jul 27, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Jul 26, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Jul 26, 02:50 PM UTC
000
WTPZ42 KNHC 261450
TCDEP2
 
Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP072026
800 AM MST Sun Jul 26 2026
 
The satellite presentation of Genevieve continues to rapidly improve 
this morning. The ragged eye temperature has warmed to above 0 C and 
become more symmetric over the past hour, and cloud tops colder than 
-70 C almost completely surround it. The 12z TAFB subjective Dvorak 
intensity estimate was T5.0/90 kt, however, objective intensity 
estimates have increased and now range from 93-112 kt. Based on 
these data and the improving satellite presentation, the initial 
intensity has been set at 105 kt for this advisory, making Genevieve 
a major hurricane.  

The major hurricane is moving quickly toward the west-northwest 
around 14 kt, along the periphery of a strong mid-level ridge 
centered over the southwestern United States. A fast northwestward 
to west-northwestward motion will continue today before Genevieve 
slows down early this week as the ridge moves eastward and mid-level 
troughing develops over southern Mexico. The latest NHC official 
forecast has been nudged slightly to the right over the first 24 h, 
and lies within the tightly clustered ensemble model track data.
 
Genevieve is rapidly intensifying, and has strengthened by 55 kt 
over the past 24 h. Very warm sea surface temperatures, low wind 
shear and strong upper-level divergence will continue to support 
additional rapid strengthening over the next 24-36 h. SHIPS Rapid 
Intensification (RI) guidance and DTOPS show a high chances of at 
least 20 kt of additional strengthening over the next 24 h. The 
latest NHC official intensity lies near the top of the model 
guidance and is close to the output of HCCA, but given the favorable 
environment, it is possible that this peak intensity forecast is 
conservative. By midweek, Genevieve will begin to encounter cooler 
sea surface temperatures, slightly drier mid-level conditions and a 
more stable environment, supporting steady weakening. However, 
Genevieve is forecast to remain a hurricane through day 5.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  26/1500Z 13.4N 109.4W  105 KT 120 MPH
 12H  27/0000Z 14.4N 110.8W  120 KT 140 MPH
 24H  27/1200Z 15.5N 112.5W  130 KT 150 MPH
 36H  28/0000Z 16.6N 114.1W  130 KT 150 MPH
 48H  28/1200Z 17.5N 115.5W  120 KT 140 MPH
 60H  29/0000Z 18.2N 117.0W  110 KT 125 MPH
 72H  29/1200Z 18.7N 118.5W  105 KT 120 MPH
 96H  30/1200Z 20.2N 122.4W   85 KT 100 MPH
120H  31/1200Z 21.8N 127.3W   65 KT  75 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin
 
NHC Advisory 008 Jul 26, 08:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Jul 26, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Jul 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Jul 25, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Jul 25, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Jul 25, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Jul 24, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Jul 24, 02:37 PM UTC