Advisories

Genevieve

39 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 039 Aug 2, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Aug 2, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Aug 2, 08:31 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Aug 2, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Aug 1, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Aug 1, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Aug 1, 08:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Aug 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Jul 31, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Jul 31, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Jul 31, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Jul 31, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Jul 30, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Jul 30, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Jul 30, 08:35 AM UTC
000
WTPZ42 KNHC 300835
TCDEP2
 
Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number  25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP072026
1100 PM HST Wed Jul 29 2026

The satellite presentation of Genevieve's convective structure has 
degraded since the previous advisory. The low-level circulation 
remains embedded beneath a central dense overcast with cloud-top 
temperatures as cold as -70 C, which have been steadily warming, 
likely due to increasing dry-air entrainment. Subjective Dvorak 
intensity estimates from TAFB and the latest objective estimates 
from UW-CIMSS range from 70 to 80 kt. Based on the satellite data 
and these estimates, the initial intensity is lowered to 80 kt. 

The initial motion estimate is 300/10 kt. Genevieve is expected to 
continue moving generally west-northwestward during the next several 
days as a low- to mid-level ridge builds north of the cyclone. A 
modest increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple 
of days as the ridge builds farther west. Thereafter, a gradual turn 
toward the northwest, then the north-northwest is forecast in 
response to a weakness forming in the subtropical ridge. The latest 
guidance remains in good agreement, and the updated NHC track 
forecast is essentially unchanged from the previous advisory.

Environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly 
unfavorable during the next several days. Genevieve will move over 
progressively cooler sea surface temperatures while encountering 
increasing southwesterly shear and a drier mid-level environment. 
These factors should result in a steady weakening trend, with the 
cyclone forecast to weaken below hurricane strength by Friday. By 
this weekend, persistent dry air entrainment and a more stable 
environment should cause deep convection to gradually diminish, 
resulting in Genevieve becoming a remnant low by 96 h. The updated 
NHC intensity forecast reflects this weakening trend and is very 
close to the previous advisory.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  30/0900Z 20.2N 122.1W   80 KT  90 MPH
 12H  30/1800Z 20.7N 123.9W   70 KT  80 MPH
 24H  31/0600Z 21.5N 126.5W   65 KT  75 MPH
 36H  31/1800Z 22.1N 129.1W   55 KT  65 MPH
 48H  01/0600Z 22.9N 131.8W   45 KT  50 MPH
 60H  01/1800Z 23.8N 135.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
 72H  02/0600Z 24.5N 138.0W   40 KT  45 MPH
 96H  03/0600Z 26.6N 143.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  04/0600Z 29.1N 145.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans
 
NHC Advisory 024 Jul 30, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Jul 29, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Jul 29, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Jul 29, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Jul 29, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Jul 29, 12:03 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Jul 28, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Jul 28, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Jul 28, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Jul 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Jul 27, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Jul 27, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Jul 27, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Jul 27, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Jul 26, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Jul 26, 02:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Jul 26, 08:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Jul 26, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Jul 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Jul 25, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Jul 25, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Jul 25, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Jul 24, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Jul 24, 02:37 PM UTC