Advisories
Genevieve39 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 039 Aug 2, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Aug 2, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Aug 2, 08:31 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Aug 2, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Aug 1, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Aug 1, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Aug 1, 08:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Aug 1, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Jul 31, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Jul 31, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Jul 31, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Jul 31, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Jul 30, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Jul 30, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Jul 30, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Jul 30, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Jul 29, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Jul 29, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Jul 29, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Jul 29, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Jul 29, 12:03 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Jul 28, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Jul 28, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Jul 28, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Jul 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Jul 27, 08:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Jul 27, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Jul 27, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Jul 27, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Jul 26, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Jul 26, 02:50 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Jul 26, 08:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Jul 26, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Jul 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Jul 25, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Jul 25, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Jul 25, 02:39 AM UTC
000 WTPZ42 KNHC 250239 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026 900 PM CST Fri Jul 24 2026 A burst of deep convection has recently developed over Genevieve's center, and a recent GMI microwave pass reveals a well-defined low-level structure with an elongated but somewhat broken convective band wrapping around the entire circulation. Given the improved structure, three separate UW-CIMSS DMINT estimates from AMSR2, GMI, and SSMIS microwave passes at 2036, 2245, and 2322 UTC, respectively, all yielded estimates around 45 kt, and that is the current intensity used for this advisory. A strong mid-level high pressure system over the western United States, with a ridge axis extending west-southwestward over the Pacific Ocean, will be the main driver of Genevieve's motion over the next 5 days and should keep the storm away from the coast of Mexico. The track guidance is in very good agreement that the cyclone will move west-northwestward or northwestward, picking up a little speed over the next couple of days but then slowing down on days 3-5. No significant changes were made to the official track forecast, which lies very near the various consensus aids. Genevieve is expected to be in a nearly ideal environment conducive for rapid intensification. These ingredients include very warm ocean waters near 30 degrees Celsius, relatively little deep-layer shear, a moist and unstable air mass, and increasing upper-level divergence. Most of the intensity guidance is supportive of some degree of rapid intensification occurring over the next few days, but the main forecast challenge is Genevieve's ultimate peak intensity. Interestingly, the HCCA and Google DeepMind ensemble mean (GDM), which have proven to have some of the best recent skill in intensity forecasting, are at the upper and lower bounds of the intensity guidance (HCCA peaks at 130 kt while GDM maxes out around 100 kt). The NHC intensity forecast has been nudged upward from the previous prediction, showing Genevieve reaching category 4 status in about 3 days. This solution is also supported by the HAFS-A and -B, Florida State Superensemble, and LGEM models. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 9.5N 102.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/1200Z 10.4N 104.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 26/0000Z 11.6N 106.5W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 26/1200Z 12.8N 108.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 27/0000Z 14.0N 110.8W 100 KT 115 MPH 60H 27/1200Z 15.4N 112.6W 110 KT 125 MPH 72H 28/0000Z 16.6N 114.1W 115 KT 130 MPH 96H 29/0000Z 18.1N 117.0W 110 KT 125 MPH 120H 30/0000Z 19.6N 120.3W 95 KT 110 MPH $$ Forecaster Berg
NHC Advisory 002 Jul 24, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Jul 24, 02:37 PM UTC