Advisories
Fausto30 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 030 Jul 26, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Jul 26, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Jul 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Jul 25, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Jul 25, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Jul 25, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Jul 24, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Jul 24, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Jul 24, 08:39 AM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 240839 TCDEP1 Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026 1100 PM HST Thu Jul 23 2026 An earlier GMI microwave pass around 0104 UTC showed the western eyewall of Fausto starting to erode. Since the last advisory, however, infrared satellite imagery shows that deep convection with cold cloud tops near -75C has wrapped back around the inner core. Meanwhile, the eye continues to appear ragged from time to time. Objective satellite estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 81 to 88 kt, while the subjective TAFB Dvorak satellite intensity estimate is T4.5/77 kt. Given the latest satellite trends and a blend of these estimates, the intensity is increased to 85 kt for this advisory. A ridge to the north continues to steer Fausto toward the west, or 280 degrees at 13 kt. This general west to west-northwestward motion is expected to persist throughout the forecast period. On this track, the system should pass just north of the Hawaiian Islands by Day 5. Little change was made to the NHC track forecast, which remains lies near the southern edge of the guidance envelope near the HCCA corrected-consensus aid and the Google DeepMind ensemble mean. Fausto remains in a marginal environment with sea surface temperatures of 2627C and low-to-moderate mid-level wind shear, which could allow the intensity to fluctuate over the next day or so. Surrounding dry air has so far failed to penetrate the inner core. Conditions are expected to become more hostile in 36 to 48 hours as mid-level relative humidity drops below 50 percent, followed by increasing westerly wind shear beyond Day 3. Accordingly, the updated forecast calls for gradual to steady weakening, in line with recent model trends. While several regional hurricane models, particularly those with more northern tracks, depict faster weakening and decay into a remnant low before Day 5, the official NHC forecast maintains continuity. As the track forecast lies on the southern edge of the guidance envelope, Fausto is forecast to remain a tropical cyclone throughout the 5-day period. Key Messages: 1. Fausto is forecast to approach the Hawaiian Islands during the early to the middle portion of next week. The risk of some impacts from wind and rainfall is increasing. However, it is too soon to determine the exact location or magnitude of these impacts, and interests there should continue to monitor the progress of this storm. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/0900Z 18.5N 129.9W 85 KT 100 MPH 12H 24/1800Z 18.8N 131.9W 80 KT 90 MPH 24H 25/0600Z 19.1N 134.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 25/1800Z 19.5N 136.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 26/0600Z 19.8N 139.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 26/1800Z 20.1N 141.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 27/0600Z 20.4N 144.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 96H 28/0600Z 21.0N 150.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 120H 29/0600Z 21.5N 156.3W 35 KT 40 MPH $$ Forecaster Kelly
NHC Advisory 021 Jul 24, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Jul 23, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Jul 23, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Jul 23, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Jul 23, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Jul 22, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Jul 22, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Jul 22, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Jul 22, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Jul 21, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Jul 21, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Jul 21, 08:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Jul 21, 02:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Jul 20, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Jul 20, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Jul 20, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Jul 20, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Jul 19, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Jul 19, 02:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Jul 19, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Jul 19, 02:33 AM UTC