Advisories
Fausto30 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 030 Jul 26, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Jul 26, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Jul 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Jul 25, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Jul 25, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Jul 25, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Jul 24, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Jul 24, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Jul 24, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Jul 24, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Jul 23, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Jul 23, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Jul 23, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Jul 23, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Jul 22, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Jul 22, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Jul 22, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Jul 22, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Jul 21, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Jul 21, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Jul 21, 08:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Jul 21, 02:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Jul 20, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Jul 20, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Jul 20, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Jul 20, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Jul 19, 08:36 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 192036 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Fausto Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026 200 PM MST Sun Jul 19 2026 The system is becoming more consolidated in appearance, with less southwest to northeast elongation than seen earlier today. A recent ASCAT pass over the system showed a believable 32-kt surface wind vector over the northwest quadrant, and TAFB gave a subjective Dvorak T-number of 2.5. This is in agreement with objective AIDT intensity estimates of 35 kt from UW-CIMSS. Based on this information, the system is being upgraded to Tropical Storm Fausto on this advisory. The storm has fairly well-defined upper-level outflow over its southern semicircle. There is still some uncertainty in the center position, but the best estimate of initial motion is 285/11 kt. A mid-tropospheric ridge lies to the north of Fausto with a weakness in the ridge, associated with departing Tropical Storm Elida, to the northwest. The ridge should gradually build back westward in Elida's wake. However, there will probably be just enough remaining weakness in the ridge to induce a slightly more northwestward motion of Fausto during the next 48-72 hours. The NHC track forecast is a blend of the Google DeepMind and corrected dynamical model consensus guidance. The environment ahead of Fausto looks quite conducive for steady to rapid intensification, with low vertical wind shear and a very moist low- to mid-level air mass. The SHIPS Rapid Intensification (RI) Index shows a significantly higher than normal likelihood of RI, and the official intensity forecast explicitly shows RI occurring in 24 to 48 hours. This rapid strengthening could occur sooner depending on how soon Fausto develops a well-defined inner core. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 12.4N 112.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 20/0600Z 13.1N 114.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 20/1800Z 14.2N 115.8W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 21/0600Z 15.4N 117.3W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 21/1800Z 16.3N 118.7W 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 22/0600Z 16.7N 120.1W 95 KT 110 MPH 72H 22/1800Z 17.0N 121.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 96H 23/1800Z 17.6N 126.0W 85 KT 100 MPH 120H 24/1800Z 18.5N 131.3W 75 KT 85 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
NHC Advisory 003 Jul 19, 02:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Jul 19, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Jul 19, 02:33 AM UTC