Advisories
Fausto30 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 030 Jul 26, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Jul 26, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Jul 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Jul 25, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Jul 25, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Jul 25, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Jul 24, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Jul 24, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Jul 24, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Jul 24, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Jul 23, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Jul 23, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Jul 23, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Jul 23, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Jul 22, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Jul 22, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Jul 22, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Jul 22, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Jul 21, 08:34 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 212034 TCDEP1 Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026 1100 AM HST Tue Jul 21 2026 The core of Fausto has not regained any organization since the previous advisory, and overall the satellite appearance is of a system below hurricane strength. However, a SAR overpass near 14Z indicated that the system still had hurricane-force winds, and this is supported by satellite intensity estimates from microwave sounders. Based on these, the initial intensity is held at 65 kt. Fausto is starting its west-northwestward turn and the initial motion is now 295/10 kt. The subtropical ridge to the north and northeast of the cyclone should build westward during the next five days, and this evolution should steer the cyclone west- northwestward to westward through the forecast period. As before, the track guidance remains tightly clustered for three days. After that, there remains an increase in the north-south spread between the GFS and Canadian models on the north side of the guidance envelope and the ECMWF, Google DeepMind, and the HAFS models on the south side of the guidance envelope. For the first three days, the new forecast track lies near the previous forecast and the center of the guidance. At days 4 and 5, it is a little south of the previous track and a little north of the various consensus models. While Fausto is forecast to be in a light- to moderate shear environment for the next several days, it will be moving over slowly decreasing sea surface temperatures through 72 h. Subsequently, the forecast track is near and roughly parallel to the 26C isotherm. In addition, the atmospheric moisture near the storm should slowly decrease for 72 h, followed by a faster decrease. The intensity guidance responds to these factors by showing intensification for 48-60 h, with a gradual weakening after 72 h. Based on the guidance and the need for the core to re-organize, the new intensity forecast shows little change in strength for 12 h, followed by gradual strengthening until the 60 h point. The forecast peak intensity of 85 kt is near the upper edge of the guidance. After 72 h, the forecast follows the overall weakening trend of the guidance. The new forecast is weaker than than the previous forecast through 60 h, and is similar to the previous forecast thereafter. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 16.6N 119.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 22/0600Z 17.0N 121.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 22/1800Z 17.4N 122.7W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 23/0600Z 17.7N 124.6W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 23/1800Z 17.9N 127.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 60H 24/0600Z 18.3N 129.6W 85 KT 100 MPH 72H 24/1800Z 18.6N 132.3W 85 KT 100 MPH 96H 25/1800Z 19.4N 137.4W 75 KT 85 MPH 120H 26/1800Z 20.1N 142.2W 65 KT 75 MPH $$ Forecaster Beven
NHC Advisory 011 Jul 21, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Jul 21, 08:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Jul 21, 02:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Jul 20, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Jul 20, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Jul 20, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Jul 20, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Jul 19, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Jul 19, 02:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Jul 19, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Jul 19, 02:33 AM UTC