Advisories
Fausto30 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 030 Jul 26, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Jul 26, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Jul 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Jul 25, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Jul 25, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Jul 25, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Jul 24, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Jul 24, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Jul 24, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Jul 24, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Jul 23, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Jul 23, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Jul 23, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Jul 23, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Jul 22, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Jul 22, 02:44 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 221444 TCDEP1 Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026 500 AM HST Wed Jul 22 2026 Fausto appears to be contending with intrusions of dry air based on its deteriorated satellite structure this morning. Recent AMSR-2 and GMI passive microwave images show the mid-level eyewall of the hurricane is no longer closed, and dry slots are evident in geostationary satellite images. As a result of these changes, the satellite intensity estimates have decreased this morning. The initial intensity is set at 70 kt, which is in good agreement with the latest UW-CIMSS D-PRINT, D-MINT, and SATCON estimates. Fausto continues moving west-northwestward (285/6 kt) while being steered by a subtropical ridge to its north. This feature is forecast to strengthen over the next few days, which should keep Fausto on a west-northwestward to westward heading with some increase in forward speed later this week and over the weekend. The track models are in good agreement through 72 h, with increased cross-track spread noted at days 4-5. The Google Deep Mind and HCCA remain on the southern side of the guidance envelope, while the GFS and regional hurricane models are still slower and farther north. Little change was made to the official NHC track forecast, which continues to follow HCCA on the southern side of the guidance suite. Some restrengthening is possible during the next day or two while Fausto moves over warm waters in a light to moderate shear environment. However, continued intrusions of dry air may limit the potential for further intensification, and the NHC forecast only shows modest strengthening during the next 24-36 h. As Fausto moves westward, it is predicted to encounter a drier and more stable air mass over the weekend while tracking near the 26 deg C isotherm. Thus, slow weakening is shown during the latter half of this forecast period. The latest NHC intensity forecast remains on the higher side of the intensity guidance. Note that any large northward track deviations would likely cause Fausto to weaken even faster than shown in this forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1500Z 16.9N 121.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 23/0000Z 17.3N 122.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 23/1200Z 17.7N 125.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 36H 24/0000Z 18.1N 127.8W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 24/1200Z 18.4N 130.6W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 25/0000Z 18.6N 133.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 25/1200Z 18.8N 135.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 26/1200Z 19.5N 141.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 27/1200Z 20.0N 146.0W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Reinhart
NHC Advisory 014 Jul 22, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Jul 22, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Jul 21, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Jul 21, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Jul 21, 08:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Jul 21, 02:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Jul 20, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Jul 20, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Jul 20, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Jul 20, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Jul 19, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Jul 19, 02:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Jul 19, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Jul 19, 02:33 AM UTC