Advisories
Fausto30 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 030 Jul 26, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Jul 26, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Jul 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Jul 25, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Jul 25, 08:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Jul 25, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Jul 24, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Jul 24, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Jul 24, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Jul 24, 02:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Jul 23, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Jul 23, 02:43 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 231443 TCDEP1 Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026 500 AM HST Thu Jul 23 2026 Dry air entrainment has once again impacted Fausto this morning. While the hurricane briefly closed off an eyewall a few hours ago, the latest satellite images show that inner core convection has eroded on the western side of the circulation. The initial intensity is held at 70 kt, which falls between the latest D-MINT and D-PRINT estimates from UW-CIMSS and a T4.5/77 kt Dvorak classification from TAFB. The hurricane is moving westward (280 degrees) at 11 kt, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next several days as a ridge strengthens to the north of Fausto. There is increased spread in the track models beginning around day 3, with the Google Deep Mind notably faster and farther south than the GFS and the hurricane regional models. The NHC track forecast remains on the southern side of the guidance envelope, closest to the HFIP corrected consensus (HCCA) and the Google Deep Mind ensemble mean. While the longer-range forecast brings the center of Fausto generally toward the Hawaiian Islands, it is too early to speculate on potential impacts to the islands at this point. Fausto continues to periodically struggle with intrusions of drier mid-level air within its circulation. Although the deep-layer shear is fairly low, model soundings suggest that stronger west-northwesterly mid-level shear during the next couple of days may cause continued bouts of dry air entrainment. Then, the SHIPS guidance shows mid-level humidity values falling below 50 percent by this weekend. So although Fausto will be over marginal SSTs throughout the period, a gradual weakening trend is predicted while the system moves into the Central Pacific. This forecast keeps Fausto a tropical cyclone through day 5, but model simulated satellite imagery suggests the system could struggle to maintain organized convection by early next week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/1500Z 17.9N 125.3W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 24/0000Z 18.1N 127.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 24/1200Z 18.5N 130.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 25/0000Z 18.8N 132.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 25/1200Z 19.1N 135.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 26/0000Z 19.3N 137.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 26/1200Z 19.4N 140.2W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 27/1200Z 20.1N 145.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 28/1200Z 20.5N 151.0W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ Forecaster Reinhart
NHC Advisory 018 Jul 23, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Jul 23, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Jul 22, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Jul 22, 02:44 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Jul 22, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Jul 22, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Jul 21, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Jul 21, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Jul 21, 08:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Jul 21, 02:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Jul 20, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Jul 20, 02:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Jul 20, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Jul 20, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Jul 19, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Jul 19, 02:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Jul 19, 08:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Jul 19, 02:33 AM UTC