Advisories
Fay39 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 039 Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Sep 29, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 28, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 02:39 PM UTC
000 WTNT41 KNHC 271439 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 PM GMT Sun Sep 27 2026 This morning's GOES-19 Proxy-VIS satellite presentation indicates that Fay's cloud pattern has changed little since yesterday, and the TAFB subjective satellite intensity estimate supports 30 kt for this advisory. Modest northerly shear continues to impinge on the north side of the cyclone, displacing the small pulsating deep bursts of convection just to the south of the surface center. The GFS/ECMWF statistical SHIPS intensity guidance indicates little change in the shear pattern and magnitude and the thermodynamic environment through mid-week. Therefore, the NHC forecast shows Fay maintaining depression strength during the next few days. There is growing confidence due to deterministic and AI-single model agreement indicating that Fay will finally lose what little organized convection it has held onto, and eventually open up into a trough toward the end of the week. The official intensity forecast follows this scenario and is based on the aforementioned SHIPS and the HFIP HCCA guidance. Fay's initial motion is estimated to be south-southeastward, or 160/3 kt. Fay is forecast to move southwestward to west-southwestward around the southeastern peripheral low-level flow of a subtropical high located midway between Bermuda and the cyclone. A few of the deterministic models indicate slight strengthening of the aforementioned ridge early in the period. Therefore, a slight increase in forward speed is indicated in the NHC forecast beyond Tuesday, and this agrees with the better performing consensus models. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/1500Z 29.3N 43.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 28/0000Z 28.8N 43.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 28/1200Z 27.6N 43.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 29/0000Z 26.4N 44.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 29/1200Z 25.3N 45.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 30/0000Z 24.6N 47.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 30/1200Z 24.2N 48.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Roberts
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 22, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 22, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 21, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 21, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 21, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 20, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 20, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 19, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 19, 02:49 PM UTC