Advisories
Fay39 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 039 Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Sep 29, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 28, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 22, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 22, 08:41 AM UTC
000 WTNT41 KNHC 220841 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026 Deep convection associated with Fay has completely dissipated, leaving the low-level center fully exposed on satellite imagery. Given the lack of organized deep convection over the past several hours, Fay's remaining time as a tropical cyclone is limited unless convection redevelops soon. Objective and subjective satellite intensity estimates currently range from 25 to 44 kt. Based on a blend of these estimates, the initial intensity is maintained at 35 kt for this advisory. The system is moving southwestward, or 230/8 kt, as it rounds the eastern periphery of a mid-level ridge to its west. A turn toward the west-southwest and then the west is expected over the next day or two, as the ridge strengthens. The latest NHC track forecast is near the previous nudged slightly towards the right, towards the GDMI and HCCA aids. A combination of moderate wind shear and dry air entrainment should cause Fay to gradually spin down and weaken. Although shear may relax somewhat in a few days, as the system moves over slightly warmer sea surface temperatures, model-simulated satellite imagery suggests that any returning convection will occur only in intermittent bursts. Based on current trends and model guidance, the NHC intensity forecast calls for Fay to gradually weaken, and become a post-tropical remnant low later today and dissipate into an open trough by the end of the period. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 31.8N 33.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 31.2N 35.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 23/0600Z 30.5N 36.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 23/1800Z 29.9N 38.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/0600Z 29.7N 40.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 24/1800Z 29.8N 42.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/0600Z 29.9N 43.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 26/0600Z 30.1N 45.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 21, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 21, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 21, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 20, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 20, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 19, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 19, 02:49 PM UTC