Advisories
Fay39 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 039 Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Sep 29, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 28, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 02:38 PM UTC
000 WTNT41 KNHC 261438 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 PM GMT Sat Sep 26 2026 Fay has not changed significantly since the previous update. The tropical cyclone is clearly still being impacted by both wind shear and dry air. The most recent TAFB Dvorak intensity estimate was T2.0/30 kt, and the objective intensity estimate is in the range of 31-41 kt. Therefore, the initial intensity has been held at 30 kt for this advisory. The cyclone continues to drift towards the west-southwest, at 250/4 kt. A more southerly turn is expected as Fay continues move into the southern flank of the subtropical Atlantic high. By early next week, most of the guidance has the depression turning westward due to the large-scale easterly flow. However there is a bit of uncertainty in the precise timing of this turn. The current NHC forecast track is similar to the previous one with some minor adjustments based on the HCCA forecast aid. There is a high level of uncertainty in the intensity forecast as Fay remains over an area of favorably warm sea-surface temperatures, but vertical wind shear and dry mid-level air will likely continue to hinder the system, preventing a more organized structure from developing. Convection is likely to continue pulsing but the current NHC intensity forecast follows the trend of the previous one showing little change in strength with only minor adjustments made. This forecast continues to maintain Fay as a tropical depression until it becomes post-tropical and dissipates by the middle of next week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 29.6N 44.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 29.5N 44.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 28.8N 44.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 28/0000Z 27.9N 44.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 28/1200Z 26.8N 44.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 29/0000Z 25.4N 45.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 29/1200Z 24.2N 46.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 30/1200Z 23.0N 50.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Katz/Papin
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 22, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 22, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 21, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 21, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 21, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 20, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 20, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 19, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 19, 02:49 PM UTC