Advisories
Fay39 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 039 Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Sep 29, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 28, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:47 AM UTC
000 WTNT41 KNHC 250847 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 AM GMT Fri Sep 25 2026 Fay continues to produce bursts of deep convection near and to the west of the low-level center this morning, remaining resilient to the dry mid-level environment. Subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates range between 35 to 48 kt. Using these estimates, the initial intensity is maintained at 45 kt for this advisory. Given warm sea-surface temperatures of 27-28 deg C, some slight strengthening is possible during the next 12 h or so. However, vertical wind shear is forecast to increase later tonight. As the shear increases and the mid-levels remain quite dry, with relative humidity values in the mid 30s, Fay should gradually weaken. The system is expected to lose deep convection once again over the weekend, becoming a post-tropical cyclone. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory and is in good agreement with the tightly clustered intensity guidance. The only change to the forecast is that dissipation has been delayed, as the global models continue to show the remnant low meandering over the central Atlantic for a few more days. The storm continues to move westward with an estimated initial motion of 270/5 kt along the southern periphery of a mid-level ridge. A gradual turn toward the west-southwest and then southwest is expected to being in a day or so as Fay becomes a vertically shallow cyclone and becomes steered by the low-level flow. The latest NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one and lies near the HCCA corrected consensus aid. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0900Z 29.8N 42.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/1800Z 29.7N 43.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 26/0600Z 29.7N 44.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 26/1800Z 29.5N 45.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 27/0600Z 29.3N 45.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 60H 27/1800Z 29.0N 45.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/0600Z 28.5N 46.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 29/0600Z 27.6N 46.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 22, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 22, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 21, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 21, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 21, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 20, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 20, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 19, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 19, 02:49 PM UTC