Advisories
Fay39 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 039 Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Sep 29, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 28, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:36 AM UTC
000 WTNT41 KNHC 270236 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 AM GMT Sun Sep 27 2026 Although convection around Fay continues to pulsate, the storm's overall structure has degraded. Vertical wind shear has displaced the convection to the south of the fully exposed low-level center. The latest objective Dvorak analysis from UW-CIMSS estimates Fay's intensity between 30 and 35 kt. With the latest ASCAT pass only clipping the storm's western flank, the initial intensity was held steady at 30 kt, mostly to compensate for brief periods of intensification under these convective pulses. Forward speed has slowed to a crawl, with the initial motion set at 190/2 kt. Steering flow is very weak as Fay remains embedded within the southern flank of the Atlantic subtropical high. Track models continue to converge towards a solution, depicting Fay turning southwest and then westward heading into early next week as it is picked up by the prevailing easterlies. The latest NHC track forecast was little changed from the previous advisory, reflecting only a slight eastward shift to blend better with HCCA guidance. Fay's fate will depend on just how long this latest round of nocturnal convection will last. Simulated satellite imagery from global models suggest that these convective pulses may continue into early next week. However, it is possible that Fay could become post-tropical sooner than currently forecast. The latest intensity forecast was essentially unchanged, depicting a relatively steady system on the verge of becoming post-tropical as vertical wind shear continues to inhibit Fay's chances of convective redevelopment. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/0300Z 29.6N 43.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/1200Z 29.4N 43.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 28/0000Z 28.4N 43.7W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 28/1200Z 27.4N 43.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 29/0000Z 25.8N 44.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 29/1200Z 24.6N 46.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 30/0000Z 24.0N 47.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Evans/Hagen
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 22, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 22, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 21, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 21, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 21, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 20, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 20, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 19, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 19, 02:49 PM UTC