Advisories

Fay

39 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 039 Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Sep 29, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 28, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
000
WTNT41 KNHC 241440
TCDAT1
 
Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
300 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026
 
Resilient Fay has strengthened this morning.  Deep convective
curved bands have developed both on the west and east sides of the
cyclone, and a small cold cloud top deep burst of convection is
persisting over the surface center.  Based on the improved cloud
pattern and an increase in the Dvorak satellite intensity
estimated from TAFB, the initial intensity is raised to 45 kt.
 
Fay remains over warm ocean waters and a favorable upper-level wind
environment.  Only a relatively stable, dry surrounding atmosphere
is preventing Fay from strengthening significantly.  By the weekend,
deep-layer shear is expected to increase, which should induce a
weakening trend.  Subsequently, Fay is forecast to degenerate into 
a remnant low.
 
Fay's initial motion is estimated to be due west, or 270/5 kt.
This general motion should continue with a slight reduction
in forward speed through dissipation on Sunday.  The NHC track
forecast is similar to the previous advisory and lies close to the
skilled HFIP HCCA and GDMI TC ensemble mean.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  24/1500Z 29.8N  41.2W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  25/0000Z 29.8N  42.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  25/1200Z 29.7N  42.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  26/0000Z 29.6N  43.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  26/1200Z 29.5N  45.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  27/0000Z 29.5N  46.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  27/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Roberts
 
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 22, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 22, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 21, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 21, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 21, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 20, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 20, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 19, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 19, 02:49 PM UTC