Advisories

Fay

39 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 039 Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Sep 29, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 28, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:49 AM UTC
000
WTNT41 KNHC 250249
TCDAT1
 
Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
300 AM GMT Fri Sep 25 2026

Fay has developed a more consistent area of deep convection about 
its center since the last advisory. Little has changed with the 
subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates of this 
storm, however. CIMSS-UW objective estimates range from 35 to 45 
kt, while TAFB rated Fay at 3.0 or 45 kt. Because of this, Fay's 
initial intensity has been held steady at 45 kt. 

The initial motion remains at 270/5 kt. Fay's forward motion is 
expected to remain slow as its steering environment is 
characterized by weak easterly winds within the Atlantic 
subtropical high. Over the next 24 h, Fay is expected to shift 
west-southwest and then southwest as high pressure amplifies to its 
west. At the same time, Fay's speed is expected to decrease even 
further. The latest track forecast reflects this trend toward the 
southwest, and closely follows HCCA guidance. 

With convection deepening on satellite imagery, Fay could 
experience a brief increase in intensity overnight, before steady 
weakening is forecast as the storm experiences increasingly drier 
mid-level air and vertical wind shear. While global forecast models 
suggest that Fay will lose its convection over the weekend, its 
closed circulation may persist into the middle of next week, 
allowing Fay to remain a post-tropical remnant low during that 
time. The main change for the latest forecast was to reflect a later 
dissipation time, but otherwise Fay's overall trend remains the 
same.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  25/0300Z 29.8N  42.3W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  25/1200Z 29.8N  43.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  26/0000Z 29.7N  43.8W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  26/1200Z 29.6N  44.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  27/0000Z 29.5N  45.2W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 60H  27/1200Z 29.4N  45.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  28/0000Z 29.0N  46.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  29/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Evans/Kelly
 
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 22, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 22, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 21, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 21, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 21, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 20, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 20, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 19, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 19, 02:49 PM UTC