Advisories

Fay

39 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 039 Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 038 Sep 29, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Sep 29, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Sep 29, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Sep 28, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Sep 28, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Sep 28, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 28, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 08:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 27, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 26, 02:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 02:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:33 PM UTC
000
WTNT41 KNHC 242033
TCDAT1
 
Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
900 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026

Deep convection continues near and northeast of Fay's center, 
though the southwestern portion of the circulation is partially 
exposed.  There has been no significant change to the satellite 
intensity estimates, so the initial intensity remains 45 kt.  Fay 
has some chance to intensify overnight before an increase in 
easterly shear helps mix in very dry air outside the central core. 
The shear is expected to get fairly strong by the weekend, which 
should cause Fay to decay into a post-tropical cyclone in a couple 
of days.  No significant changes were made to the intensity 
forecast.

Fay's initial motion is unchanged at 270/5 kt.  A ridge over the 
central Atlantic should steer the storm slowly westward during the 
next few days.  Track guidance is in relatively good agreement, and 
the new forecast is basically an update of the previous one, near 
the Google DeepMind and HCCA aids.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  24/2100Z 29.8N  41.8W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  25/0600Z 29.8N  42.5W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  25/1800Z 29.7N  43.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  26/0600Z 29.5N  44.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  26/1800Z 29.5N  45.6W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 60H  27/0600Z 29.5N  46.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Blake
 
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 22, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 22, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 21, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 21, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 21, 08:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 20, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 20, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 19, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 19, 02:49 PM UTC