Advisories

000
WTPA34 PHFO 051441
TCPCP4
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Lowell Advisory Number  38
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP122026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sat Sep 05 2026
 
...LOWELL FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY AND APPROACH THE
WESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ON MONDAY...
...INTERESTS IN HAWAII SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR LOWELL'S PROGRESS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 162.6W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM SSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 625 MI...1010 KM SSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...931 MB...27.50 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Lowell. Watches will likely be required for portions of the 
western main Hawaiian Islands and the Papahanaumokuakea Marine 
National Monument later today.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lowell was located
near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 162.6 West. Lowell is moving
toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the northwest 
is expected by tonight, followed by a faster motion toward the 
north and north-northeast on Sunday and Monday. On the forecast 
track, the center of Lowell will move across portions of the 
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument, just to the west of the 
main Hawaiian Islands, Monday night.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Lowell is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are possible during 
the next day or so, followed by a gradual weakening trend on Sunday 
and Monday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 931 mb (27.50 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lowell can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP4 and WMO header WTPA44
PHFO.
 
RAINFALL: Hurricane Lowell is expected to produce rainfall totals of 
3 to 6 inches, with maximum totals exceeding 10 inches possible, for 
Kauai and the Big Island. For Maui, 2 to 4 inches of rain is 
expected, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible. Across 
the remaining islands, rainfall of 1 to 2 inches with maximum 
amounts of 4 inches is possible. This rainfall may produce locally 
significant flash flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of 
steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Lowell, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp4.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF: Swells from Lowell are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions during the next several days across
many of the Hawaiian islands. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg