Advisories

Lowell

71 advisories on record

CPHC Advisory 060 Sep 11, 02:34 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 059 Sep 10, 08:44 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 058 Sep 10, 02:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 057 Sep 10, 08:51 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 056 Sep 10, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 055 Sep 9, 08:35 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 054 Sep 9, 02:40 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 053 Sep 9, 08:51 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 052 Sep 9, 02:41 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 051 Sep 8, 08:33 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 050A Sep 8, 05:46 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 050 Sep 8, 02:49 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 049A Sep 8, 11:53 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 049 Sep 8, 08:52 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 048A Sep 8, 05:48 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 048 Sep 8, 03:00 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 047A Sep 7, 11:38 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 047 Sep 7, 08:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 046A Sep 7, 05:44 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 046 Sep 7, 02:52 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 045A Sep 7, 11:43 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 045 Sep 7, 09:17 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 044A Sep 7, 05:40 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 044 Sep 7, 02:44 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 043A Sep 6, 11:37 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 043 Sep 6, 08:47 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042A Sep 6, 05:37 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 042 Sep 6, 02:49 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041A Sep 6, 11:39 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 041 Sep 6, 08:57 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040A Sep 6, 05:33 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 040 Sep 6, 02:35 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 039 Sep 5, 08:43 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 038 Sep 5, 02:41 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 037 Sep 5, 08:53 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 036 Sep 5, 02:48 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 035 Sep 4, 08:39 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 034 Sep 4, 06:26 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 033 Sep 4, 02:48 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 032 Sep 4, 08:56 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 031 Sep 4, 02:45 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 030 Sep 3, 08:37 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 029 Sep 3, 02:50 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 028 Sep 3, 08:58 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 027 Sep 3, 02:44 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 026 Sep 2, 08:33 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 025 Sep 2, 02:49 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 024 Sep 2, 08:52 AM UTC
000
WTPA44 PHFO 020852
TCDCP4
 
Hurricane Lowell Discussion Number  24
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP122026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Tue Sep 01 2026

Satellite imagery shows that Lowell is a well-organized, compact 
hurricane that has continued to intensify since the last advisory.  
The initial intensity is set to 125 kt, between a blend of the 
various subjective and objective Dvorak estimates from 118-137 kt. 
Lowell has undergone an impressive 65-kt very rapid intensification 
during the last 24 hours, and it should remain in generally 
conducive large-scale conditions of warm water and light shear for 
the next several days. The storm could even make category 5 
intensity on Wednesday before a series of eyewall replacement 
cycles likely commence by Thursday.  The intensity forecast is 
raised in the short term, but otherwise is similar to the previous 
one, on the higher side of the guidance envelope.  There is a high 
likelihood that Lowell will remain a powerful hurricane for days to 
come, with the intensity governed largely by internal dynamics 
(like eyewall replacements).

The initial motion is westward at 10 kt. A westward motion is 
anticipated during the next several days due to a mid-level ridge 
over the Central Pacific.   By Sunday, an upper-level trough is 
expected to weaken the ridge, causing Lowell to slow down and take a 
more northward turn, though there is considerable uncertainty on 
how sharp that turn might be.  Similar to the last advisory, the 
official track forecast is nudged slightly southward, near the HCCA 
and GDMI track aids. 
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should continue to closely
monitor the progress of Hurricane Lowell.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  02/0900Z 13.5N 152.2W  125 KT 145 MPH
 12H  02/1800Z 13.6N 153.7W  135 KT 155 MPH
 24H  03/0600Z 13.7N 155.7W  130 KT 150 MPH
 36H  03/1800Z 13.9N 157.5W  125 KT 145 MPH
 48H  04/0600Z 14.0N 159.2W  125 KT 145 MPH
 60H  04/1800Z 14.0N 160.6W  120 KT 140 MPH
 72H  05/0600Z 14.0N 161.9W  120 KT 140 MPH
 96H  06/0600Z 14.3N 164.0W  120 KT 140 MPH
120H  07/0600Z 15.6N 164.7W  120 KT 140 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Blake
 
CPHC Advisory 023 Sep 2, 02:37 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 022 Sep 1, 11:22 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 021 Sep 1, 08:34 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 020 Sep 1, 02:46 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 019 Sep 1, 08:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 018 Sep 1, 02:32 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 017 Aug 31, 08:39 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 016 Aug 31, 02:58 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 015 Aug 31, 08:35 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 014 Aug 31, 02:37 AM UTC
CPHC Advisory 013 Aug 30, 08:40 PM UTC
CPHC Advisory 012 Aug 30, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Aug 30, 09:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Aug 30, 02:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Aug 29, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Aug 29, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Aug 29, 08:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Aug 29, 02:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Aug 28, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Aug 28, 02:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Aug 28, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Aug 28, 02:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Aug 27, 08:46 PM UTC