Advisories

Simon

63 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 038 Oct 16, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 037 Oct 16, 02:57 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 036 Oct 16, 08:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 035 Oct 16, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 034 Oct 15, 08:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 033 Oct 15, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 032 Oct 15, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Oct 15, 02:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Oct 14, 08:55 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Oct 14, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028A Oct 14, 11:30 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Oct 14, 08:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027A Oct 14, 05:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Oct 14, 02:36 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026A Oct 13, 11:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Oct 13, 08:59 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025A Oct 13, 05:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Oct 13, 02:59 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024A Oct 13, 11:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Oct 13, 08:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023A Oct 13, 05:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Oct 13, 02:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022A Oct 12, 11:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Oct 12, 08:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021A Oct 12, 05:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Oct 12, 02:59 PM UTC
000
WTPZ35 KNHC 121458
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Simon Advisory Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026
800 AM MST Mon Oct 12 2026
 
...SIMON CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OFFSHORE OF MEXICO...
...DANGEROUS WINDS EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS WITH FLOODING RAINS
TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 106.5W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has changed the Hurricane Warning to a
Hurricane Watch from north of Cabo Corrientes to El Roblito.
 
The government of Mexico has changed the Hurricane Warning to a
Tropical Storm Warning from Playa Perula north to Cabo Corrientes.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Las Islas Marias
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Cabo Corrientes to Bahia Tempehuaya
 
A Tropical Storm Warning in in effect for...
* Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area within 48 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this cast for the
next few hours.
 
Interests elsewhere in west-central Mexico should continue to
monitor as changes to watches and warnings are possible later today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Simon was located
near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 106.5 West. Simon is moving
toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue into early Tuesday. A gradual turn
toward the northeast is forecast thereafter, and Simon is expected
to approach the west-central Mexico coastline on Wednesday into
Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 110 mph (175 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional weakening is forecast today, but
Simon could re-intensify some on Tuesday and Wednesday and is
expected to remain a hurricane through midweek. Rapid weakening is
likely after Simon moves inland late this week.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles
(95 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC.
 
WIND: Hurricane conditions are likely to occur in the Hurricane
Warning area of Las Islas Marias. Tropical storm conditions are
expected to occur for a few more hours in the Tropical Storm warning
area. Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by
Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions possible by Tuesday night.
 
RAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of
2 to 4 inches across coastal portions of southwest and west-central
Mexico with isolated additional amounts of 6 to 8 inches over
portions of the state of Jalisco through early this week, and the
state of Sinaloa mainly Wednesday and Thursday. Isolated maximum
storm totals of 30 inches are possible over portions of the states
of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco.  This rainfall will produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides or worsen any on-going
flooding, especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.
 
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected along the immediate
coast near and to the east of where the center approaches land. Near
the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive
waves.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast
of southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1100 AM MST.
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin
 
NHC Advisory 020A Oct 12, 11:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Oct 12, 08:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019A Oct 12, 05:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Oct 12, 02:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018A Oct 11, 11:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Oct 11, 09:12 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017A Oct 11, 05:41 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Oct 11, 02:58 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016A Oct 11, 11:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Oct 11, 08:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015A Oct 11, 05:59 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Oct 11, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014A Oct 10, 11:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Oct 10, 08:59 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013A Oct 10, 05:58 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Oct 10, 02:58 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012A Oct 10, 11:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Oct 10, 08:57 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011A Oct 10, 05:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Oct 10, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010A Oct 9, 11:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Oct 9, 08:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009A Oct 9, 05:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Oct 9, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008A Oct 9, 11:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Oct 9, 08:46 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007A Oct 9, 05:51 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Oct 9, 03:21 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006A Oct 8, 11:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Oct 8, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005A Oct 8, 05:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Oct 8, 02:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004A Oct 8, 11:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Oct 8, 09:29 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Oct 8, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Oct 7, 08:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Oct 7, 02:58 PM UTC