Advisories
Trudy40 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 027 Oct 20, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Oct 19, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Oct 19, 02:56 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 191456 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Trudy Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212026 800 AM MST Mon Oct 19 2026 Convection has reignited near Trudy this morning, with very cold cloud tops below -80C evident north and east of the estimated center on infrared satellite imagery. However, an earlier GPM microwave pass indicated that westerly wind shear is affecting the tropical storm, with shear estimated at around 15 kt based on GFS and ECMWF SHIPS guidance. Recent objective Dvorak intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 42-55 kt. Given the renewed convective activity and the relatively consistent intensity estimates, the initial intensity is maintained at 50 kt for this advisory. Trudy is moving westward around 5 kt, steered by a low- to mid-level ridge centered to its north. A westward to west-southwestward motion, accompanied by a slower forward speed, is expected through tonight. A gradual turn toward the northwest is forecast on Tuesday as a strong deep-layer trough advances southeastward over the eastern Pacific toward the West Coast of the United States. The latest NHC forecast track has been nudged slightly to the left of the previous forecast, toward the HCCA and Google DeepMind solutions. Despite the recent uptick in convection, cooler sea surface temperatures, increasingly dry mid-level air and an unfavorable upper-level wind environment are expected to support weakening over the next couple of days. ECMWF simulated satellite imagery suggests that Trudy may struggle to maintain organized convection on Tuesday, and the latest forecast calls for the system to become post-tropical within 24 h. The latest NHC forecast is similar to the previous forecast, lying near the upper end of the intensity guidance through 12 h and near the middle of the guidance thereafter. Trudy is forecast to dissipate by 72 h. Large swells will continue to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico and west-central Mexico today, causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions at the beaches. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/1500Z 19.5N 108.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 20/0000Z 19.5N 108.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 20/1200Z 19.5N 109.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 21/0000Z 19.9N 110.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 21/1200Z 20.3N 110.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 22/0000Z 20.9N 111.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Adams
NHC Advisory 024 Oct 19, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Oct 19, 02:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Oct 18, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021A Oct 18, 05:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Oct 18, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020A Oct 18, 11:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Oct 18, 08:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019A Oct 18, 05:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Oct 18, 02:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018A Oct 17, 11:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Oct 17, 08:54 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017A Oct 17, 05:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Oct 17, 02:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016A Oct 17, 11:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Oct 17, 08:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015A Oct 17, 05:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Oct 17, 02:40 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014A Oct 16, 11:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Oct 16, 08:41 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013A Oct 16, 05:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Oct 16, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012A Oct 16, 11:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Oct 16, 08:52 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011A Oct 16, 05:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Oct 16, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010A Oct 15, 11:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Oct 15, 08:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009A Oct 15, 05:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Oct 15, 02:58 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Oct 15, 08:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Oct 15, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Oct 14, 08:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Oct 14, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Oct 14, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Oct 14, 03:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Oct 13, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Oct 13, 02:53 PM UTC