Advisories
Odalys32 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 08:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 02:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 25, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 11:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 03:13 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 23, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 23, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 23, 02:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 08:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 22, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 22, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 22, 02:58 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 08:46 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 212046 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Odalys Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162026 200 PM PDT Mon Sep 21 2026 Although the storm still has not become appreciably better organized on either geostationary or microwave imagery, a recent ASCAT-C overpass showed at least one believable wind vector of near 43 kt. This, along with a Dvorak T-number from TAFB, supports increasing the intensity slightly to 45 kt. Odalys continues to produce quite a bit of deep convection, but the highest cloud tops are not as cold as they were earlier today, likely a diurnal fluctuation. The forward speed has slowed somewhat and the motion estimate is around 310/7 kt. The track forecast reasoning is basically unchanged from the previous couple of advisories. A mid- to upper-level trough is forecast to move over the Baja California peninsula during the next day or so. This should result in a sharp eastward turn of Odalys tomorrow. The tropical cyclone should then be steered east-northeastward to northeastward by the flow between the trough and a mid-level ridge situated between Odalys and Hurricane Polo. The latest NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one and lies near the HCCA and GDMI track guidance. Some interaction between Odalys and Polo is possible near the end or after the forecast period. According to the most recent Decay-SHIPS input, the vertical wind shear is likely to remain in the light to moderate range for the next several days. This, along with a sufficiently warm ocean, should allow Odalys to strengthen into a hurricane in 48 hours or so. Somewhat drier air could result in some weakening late in the forecast period. The official intensity forecast is in good agreement with the HCCA corrected model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 14.0N 130.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 22/0600Z 14.5N 130.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 22/1800Z 15.0N 129.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 23/0600Z 15.2N 128.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 23/1800Z 15.3N 127.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 60H 24/0600Z 15.7N 125.7W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 24/1800Z 16.4N 124.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 25/1800Z 17.9N 122.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 26/1800Z 19.8N 120.8W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 21, 02:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 21, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 21, 02:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 08:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 20, 08:48 AM UTC