Advisories

Odalys

32 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 032 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 08:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 02:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 25, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 11:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 03:13 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 23, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 23, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 23, 02:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 08:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 22, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 22, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 22, 02:58 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 08:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 21, 02:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 21, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 21, 02:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 08:48 PM UTC
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 202048
TCDEP1
 
Tropical Storm Odalys Discussion Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162026
200 PM PDT Sun Sep 20 2026
 
Odalys continues to gradually become better organized, with very 
deep convection near and over the center, and some banding features 
evident over the southern semicircle.  Upper-level outflow remains 
somewhat restricted over the northern quadrant of the circulation, 
however.  This implies some northerly vertical wind shear over the 
storm.  The estimated current intensity is increased to 45 kt based 
on objective and subjective Dvorak estimates and observations from 
a scatterometer overpass.

The tropical cyclone is expected to be in an environment of 
low to moderate shear, over very warm waters, and within a moist 
low- to mid-level air mass for the next couple of days.  Therefore 
continued strengthening is forecast for the next couple of days.  
Later in the forecast period, somewhat drier air and the possible 
inhibiting influence of a developing tropical cyclone to the east 
could limit strengthening.  The official intensity forecast is 
close to the model consensus.

Odalys should move generally northwestward through tonight, on the 
southwest side of a mid-level ridge.  In 24-48 hours, a 500 mb 
trough moving into California and Baja California should cause the 
system to turn eastward.  Later in the forecast period, as the 
trough lifts out, Odalys is likely to move northeastward on the 
northwestern side of a mid-level ridge.  The developing tropical 
cyclone to the east could also have some influence on the track in 
3-5 days, although there is considerable uncertainty about this. 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  20/2100Z 11.7N 126.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  21/0600Z 12.8N 127.8W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  21/1800Z 14.0N 129.0W   60 KT  70 MPH
 36H  22/0600Z 14.8N 129.6W   70 KT  80 MPH
 48H  22/1800Z 15.0N 129.4W   75 KT  85 MPH
 60H  23/0600Z 15.0N 128.7W   75 KT  85 MPH
 72H  23/1800Z 15.1N 127.7W   75 KT  85 MPH
 96H  24/1800Z 15.9N 126.0W   75 KT  85 MPH
120H  25/1800Z 17.5N 124.4W   65 KT  75 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 20, 08:48 AM UTC