Advisories
Odalys32 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 08:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 02:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 25, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 11:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 03:13 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 23, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 23, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 23, 02:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 08:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 22, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 22, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 22, 02:58 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 08:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 21, 02:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 21, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 21, 02:42 AM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 210242 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Odalys Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162026 800 PM PDT Sun Sep 20 2026 The northerly shear that has been impeding Odalys' intensification rate appears to have increased during the past several hours. The surface center has become exposed to the northwest of the deep convective cloud mass, and the cloud tops have warmed somewhat as well. The UW-CIMSS objective intensity estimates and the TAFB Dvorak satellite intensity classification yield an intensity of 45 kt for this advisory. Although Odalys is moving over warm oceanic temperatures and within a moist, unstable air mass, modest northerly vertical shear should continue to impinge on the northern side of the cyclone for the next 24 hours. Consequently, little if any strengthening is expected in the short-term. By Monday evening, the SHIPS statistical intensity model and the global models show the shear diminishing, allowing Odalys to strengthen through day 4 gradually. Afterward, increasing deep-layer shear and less favorable thermodynamic atmospheric conditions are expected to inhibit further intensification and commence a slow weakening trend. The official intensity forecast indicates a slower rate of strengthening compared to the previous one, and is very close to the HCCA and GDMI aids, but above the IVCN consensus guidance. Odalys' initial motion is estimated to be northwestward, or 310/11 kt, and this general motion should continue through Monday night. On Tuesday, a rather abrupt turn toward the east is forecast in response to a mid- to upper-level amplifying tropospheric trough moving over the eastern Pacific toward the west coast of California and the Baja California peninsula. By mid-week, the cyclone should gradually move east-northeastward and eventually northeastward within the weakness created by the trough and in the northwestern side of a mid-level ridge situated between Odalys and Tropical Storm Polo. The NHC track forecast lies between the HFIP HCCA and the GDMI TC ensemble mean and is adjusted to the right of the previous forecast beyond day 3. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0300Z 13.1N 127.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 21/1200Z 14.1N 128.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 22/0000Z 15.1N 130.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 22/1200Z 15.5N 130.2W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 23/0000Z 15.6N 129.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 23/1200Z 15.7N 128.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 24/0000Z 16.0N 127.5W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 25/0000Z 17.3N 125.4W 75 KT 85 MPH 120H 26/0000Z 18.9N 123.7W 65 KT 75 MPH $$ Forecaster Roberts
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 08:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 20, 08:48 AM UTC